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JP Morgan’s Dimon sees financial stress similar to the global financial crisis ahead

Jamie Dimon is chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co.

On the coronavirus pandemic:
  • “At a minimum, we assume that it will include a bad recession combined with some kind of financial stress similar to the global financial crisis of 2008” 
  • More specifically for his firm, JPM earnings this year will be “down meaningfully”
  • 180,000, or about 70%, of the firm’s employees are working from home
  • JPM is paying around $1,000 to those whose jobs don’t allow them to work remotely
Adds:
  • people could return to work more quickly if governments made tests widely available
  • to determine who has recovered from the disease
  • “The country was not adequately prepared for this pandemic,”

Dimon is correct on the unpreparedness. Three months of denial from the very top of the US administration that there was even a problem has cause such a tragic escalation in the numbers of lives lost.

Jamie Dimon and Warren Buffett can’t get it right

Jamie Dimon and Warren Buffett can’t get it right

15 months ago Jamie Dimon and Warren Buffett were warning people not to buy bonds. At the time, US 10-year yields were at 3.0%. Today they’re at 1.48%. 30-year yields are now below 2%.
Here’s a look at 30-year futures since:
Jamie Dimon and Warren Buffett can't get it right
They’re up 16% while the S&P 500 and Berkshire Hathaway shares are both flat.
He wasn’t alone. On the same weekend last year, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon was warning about the 10-year rising to 4%.
Dimon
The point here isn’t to point out incorrect calls. I’ve had plenty myself.
It’s a reminder that no one knows the future. Jamie Dimon is going to continue to be the greatest bank CEO of his era while Buffett will remain the greatest investor of all time.
Sometimes you’re wrong. Roll with the punches.
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