- Psychology: Trading is a miserable experience if your very self worth hangs on your every trade. You must separate your ego from your trading, you do not want wins to make you too happy or losses too make you depressed. In trading you are a business man, you are using capital to create more capital. When you lose money on a trade it has nothing to do with you if you followed your trading plan, the market was simply not conducive to a profit with your system, nothing more, it isn’t personal. Separate your ego from your trading.
- Risk Management: If you want to be successful in trading you have to avoid the risk of ruin. If you risk 2% of your trading capital per trade and you lose ten times in a row then you are down 20%, you need a 25% return to get back to even, you can do that. If you risk 10% of your capital per trade and lose ten times in a row you are at $0 and ruined. If you trade long enough you will have ten losses in a row, plan to stay in business after this happens. Carefully control what you lose.
- Method: You need to trade a method that fits your personality and is proven to win over the long term. Some people love to trade growth stocks, they need to find a method that is a proven winner and trade it. They will need to quantify what can be on their watch list, position size of each trade, and define entries and exits along with initial stop losses. Most importantly stick with the system so they will be trading it when it wins big. Each trader has to find the market they want to specialize in and become an expert. Before trading a system they need to look at the systems historical performance with some form of back testing. Find a winning method that fits your personality and trade it and it alone.
Archives of “growth stocks” tag
rssA Winning Trading Method is Really All About this…..
Successful trading is the attempt to be on the right side of the flow of capital. Each change in price happens with a new agreement between the current buyer and seller. Buyers and sellers are always equal for a transaction to take place, the cause of movement is determined by whether the buyers want in more than the sellers want out. Prices moves when capital flows into and out of a market, and inflow pushes up prices because demand becomes more than supply, price discovery happens to find out what sellers are willing to take to sell their position.
Many crazy over bought or over sold trends occur because one side has little pressure on it, position holders, shorts, or buyers sit tight as a trend accelerates. Equity markets rise when new money has to enter to be put to work but there is little interest at selling due to position holders sitting on winning positions.
Price resistance on a chart is caused by simply being the place that current holders are taking their profits. Price support happens at the price that people on the sidelines are ready to get back in at. These are simply spots where capital flows in and out. (more…)
Common Mistakes to Avoid while Trading:
- Failure to cut losses: Pride, ego, or stubbornness prevents the trader from selling.
- Not knowing “how much” to trade on each position: Overtrading positions can kill your account and take you out for good (risk of ruin).
- Average down in price: Placing good money after bad is a loser’s game.
- Listening to rumors: Forget the talking heads, rumors and tips as they are nothing but garbage and a sure way to substantial losses
- Lack of patience: It takes years to master trading as an advanced skill; even then, you are never done learning or adapting
- Not knowing when to sell: Determine your price objectives and risk-to-reward ratios prior to entering the trade; never allow emotions to make this decision. (more…)
Trading Book Review Of the Week: The Three Skills of Top Trading
This book is written about how three mutually reinforcing skills make a complete trader.
1). Pattern Recognition and Discretionary Trading.
Using the Wyckoff method you will see chart representations of how hot growth stocks are accumulated in bases for long periods of time. They eventually have pull backs then break out to new highs and trend. You will also see how they eventually have exhaustion tops on high volume that fail to rally and they begin to break down in distribution with lower lows and lower highs. The author encourages discretionary trading through experience by being able to identify market action through the models from past stocks. This work ties in nicely with the school of thought from legendary traders William J. O’Neil, Jesse Livermore, and Nicolas Darvas.
2). Behavioral finance and systems building.
The book teaches that readers must be flexible in their trading. We are merely a ship on a sea of market participant opinions. Follow the prevailing sentiment during the middle of the the trend, and go contrary to it at the extreme tops and bottoms. Hope, fear, and greed are the dangers and the movers of the market that cause support and resistance, trends, and chart patterns. The action of the stock market is nothing more than a manifestation of mass crowd psychology in action. The Pruden model shows a chart of how accumulation, mark-up, distribution, and markdown works in the market tied to price, volume, sentiment, and time. It truly explains how the price pattern and charts in growth stocks generally play out historically. (more…)
The Essence of Success
Charles Dow used to counsel that no individual should ever be promoted if they hadn’t made a large error at some point. Phil Fisher used to insist only in investing in those stocks that had management teams willing to make big mistakes. If they didn’t make mistakes, they wouldn’t also take the risks required for success. Is this the essence of success? How does a corporate management team, upon the fruition of such errors, survive being “stopped out” of their positions in today’s hair twitch paradigm? Is being expropriated from your career rather than your capital not the bigger risk today? And thus can it only be stocks with founder, family or veto shareholdings that make for truly great growth stocks today? Should not Tim Cook undertake an LBO with the Qataris?
Trading Mistakes: Avoid at all Costs
Common Mistakes to Avoid while Trading:
- Failure to cut losses: Pride, ego, or stubbornness prevents the trader from selling.
- Not knowing “how much” to trade on each position: Overtrading positions can kill your account and take you out for good (risk of ruin). (Learn to position size)
- Average down in price: Placing good money after bad is a loser’s game.
- Listening to rumors: Forget the talking heads, rumors and tips as they are nothing but garbage and a sure way to substantial losses
- Lack of patience: It takes years to master trading as an advanced skill; even then, you are never done learning or adapting
- Not knowing when to sell: Determine your price objectives and risk-to-reward ratios prior to entering the trade; never allow emotions to make this decision.
- Buying 52-week lows: Don’t be afraid to buy stocks making new highs. The garbage sits at the bottom along with weakness and downward momentum. Buy strength and the momentum moving higher.
- Pure Fundamentalist: Technical analysis is a must! Use candlestick charts that show the price, volume and major moving averages – this is all you need, don’t complicate the process.
- Making trading decisions based on taxes: Never buy or sell based on taxes alone.
- Buying based on dividends: Don’t buy based solely on dividends; most growth stocks will never give out dividends
- Buying familiar names: Yesterday’s leaders are not likely to be tomorrow’s stars. Look for solid new companies with great earnings, sales and a product in demand. Don’t buy a stock based on a popular household name.
- Lack of action: Be able to move on a dime. Time is money, don’t procrastinate or hope for something that may never happen.
- Lack of Consistency: Develop a method suited to your personality; stick to it and don’t trade blindly.
You are not your Trade
Systems don’t need to be changed. The trick is for a trader to develop a system with which he is compatible. -Ed Seykota
Traders can make psychological mistakes when trading that can end a trading career very fast. Here are a few examples:
- They take on more risk than they can deal with, stress takes over and they start making bad decisions.
- They become married to a trade, they become stubborn and ignore their stop losses, wanting to be “right” they wait while losses mount.
- Their egos take over their trading. They are more concerned about proving how smart or clever they are than making money. They begin to be more concerned with bragging about their winners than managing their losing trades. It becomes an ego trip that will not end well.
- Their system does not match them, someone who likes fast paced action should not be a long term growth investor and someone who loves investing in growth stocks they believe in should not day trade.
- A trader loses many times in a row so they change systems right before the big pay off. If you have a proven system trade it for the long term benefits.
Here are some solutions: (more…)