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5 Mistakes Traders Make Again & Again

  
  Education
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There is a big difference between bad traders and good traders, here is what I think separates one from the other:

  1. Bad traders continually have the desire to short the hottest  stocks with the strongest momentum. What is their reasoning? “It can’t go any higher, this price is ridiculous.” Do they understand it is a bull market, no. Do they understand the technicals or fundamentals that are driving this stock? No. Bad traders just trade their beliefs good traders trade proven methods.
  2. Bad traders continually believe they have found the trade “That just can’t lose.” It is a sure thing. No doubt about it. They trade BIG, they trade a HUGE position size. Unfortunately the most obvious trades are usually the losing trades, so they lose, and lose big. Good traders divide out their trades so that no one trade has too big of an impact on their account. Good traders realize EVERY trade can win or lose so they plan a quick exit for if they are wrong.
  3. Bad traders do not do the proper homework before they begin to trade. Really  Bad traders enter the markets with a mile of ego along with mud puddle deep understanding of what really works in trading. Bad traders have the belief that they are more clever than the markets and they can win based on their own intelligence. The problem is they do not do the homework of studying charts, trends, robust systems, winning methods, the right psychology for winning traders, risk/reward ratios, or the danger of the risk of ruin, or how the top performing stocks acted historically, and on and on. The good traders learn what it takes to succeed in trading, the complete story, while the bad traders learn some basics and think they are ready. They are wrong. The markets will show them.
  4. Bad traders make low probability trades, they are where the profits come from for the good traders. They go short in bull markets and long in bear markets. They sell naked puts on stocks collapsing into death spirals and sell calls on the best momentum stocks. They trade with big risks for small profits. They have a few small wins but some really huge losses. When they have a winner they take the profits quickly, but if they have a loser they let it run hoping that it will come back. They are the ones that lose the money, they are on the other side of the good traders trades.
  5. Bad traders want a good tip. They just want to be handed a winning system or a hot stock that just can’t lose. They do not even understand what all the talk of trading psychology and risk management is all about. They don’t need all that, they just want to make money. They just want the fish, they do not care about the fishing pole, bait, boat, or how to fish. Unfortunately they were to busy looking for that fish and didn’t understand the art of fishing, they will drown in the market ocean because they never learned how to swim themselves.

Expect To Be Wrong

  
  Education
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The reason I bring this up was to share with you two reactions I got when describing these recent trades and cash holdings. I had two separate conversations in July — one with a well known Trader, the other with a Fund Manager (known in the industry, but not a household name) — about our posture prior to yesterday’s drop.

The two responses were polar opposites, 180 degree apart.

The trader respected the discipline of honoring stop losses. Good traders know that opportunistic speculation is a process. Ignore any one single outcome, focus on the methodology that can consistently avoid catastrophic losses, manage risk, preserve capital. A good process can be replicated, a random spin of the wheel cannot.

The fund manager, who was having a decent year being long high vol names (at least before Wednesday), was having none of it. “Stops are for losers” is a quote I shall long remember (and email him after he blows up). Apparently, real men have the courage of their convictions.

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Rather than fight our foibles, people should admit this error stream is real, and repair the errors of our ways as soon as we discover them. I have noticed over the years the difficulty some people have in cutting losses, admitting an error, and moving on. Way back in 2005, I wrote a piece advising investors that they should Expect to Be Wrong (originally published 04/05/05). I noted that “I am rather frequently — and on occasion, quite spectacularly — wrong.” However, if we expect to be wrong, then there will be no ego tied up in admitting the error, honoring the stop loss, and selling out the loser — and preserving the capital.

This is a recipe for investing disaster. We humans make 6 billion errors per day, at the very least. The biggest one is not acknowledging this simple truism.

Sulking won’t get you anything

  
  Education
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The worst thing you can do for your prospects of winning is to get down when things don’t go well. If you start feeling sorry for yourself or thinking the trading gods are conspiring against you, you’re not focused on the next trade. Good traders readily accept their mistakes and move on to the next trade. They don’t let one bad trade carry onto the next one.

Profile Of The Successful Trader:

  
  Education
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profile

Trading is being young, imperfect, and human – not old, exacting, and scientific. It is not a set of techniques, but a commitment. You are to be an information processor. Not a swami. Not a guru. An information processor.

Participating in the markets can only develop your trading skills. You need to become a part of the markets, to know the state of the markets at any given time, and most importantly, to know yourself. You need to be patient, confident, and mentally tough. (more…)

8 Skill Every Traders must have

  
  Education
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  • Passion. The best investors I’ve seen truly love what they do. It’s the only way they are able to put in the time needed to become great.
  • Experience. The pros have seen it all. They’ve been through all sorts of market cycles. Long periods of sideways choppiness, uptrends, and downtrends. And not just the short term 15-20% corrections but the big 50% corrections too.
  • Adaptability. Markets change. And the strategies that were working in one market may eventually deteriorate. Good traders will change their methodology to match the new market conditions.
  • No ego. None. If you go into trading with an ego the market will eat you alive. The elite investors are able to admit when they’re wrong. They even embrace it. Being wrong quickly means they can move on to being right faster.
  • Emotionless. This goes hand in hand with ego. Along with pride, investors face a daily trio of emotions of hope, fear, and greed. The worst investors allow their emotions to control their trading; the best avoid any emotional attachment at all. (more…)

Maximizing Profits

  
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ProfitsThe good traders don’t just come up with promising trade ideas; they have the conviction and fortitude to stick with those ideas. Many times, it’s leaving good trades early–not accumulating bad trades–that leads to mediocre trading results. Because successful traders understand their market edge and have demonstrated it through real trading, they have the confidence to let trades ride to their objectives.

Perhaps good traders aren’t born but rather made

  
  Education
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How much of trading success can be attributed to innate ability? The answer is, as Richard Dennis and Bill Eckhardt proved with their Turtle Trader experiment back in the early 80′s, none. Trading is a skills based activity in which we make decisions under conditions of uncertainty and risk. We can have uncertainty without risk but it is impossible to have risk without uncertainty.

What is innate that has an impact on our trading are habits. MIT’s McGovern Institute for Brain Research suggests that habit formation is indeed an innate ability which is perfected through experience. In particular, their research focused on the costs and rewards of certain choices using pattern recognition, much like trading.

Neuroscientists led by Institute Professor Ann Graybiel found that untrained monkeys performing a simple visual scanning task gradually developed efficient patterns that allowed them to minimize the time it took to receive their reward.
The findings not only help reveal how the brain forms habits, but also could shed light on neurological disorders where amplified habit-formation results in highly repetitive behavior, such as Tourette’s syndrome, obsessive-compulsive disorder and schizophrenia, says Graybiel.

The process of trading, from scanning the markets for a setup to closing the position, consists of a sequence of tasks. Over time we create habits by combining these tasks together in a process. Our tendency is to use heuristics or mental shortcuts to make the tasks easier on our brains. In doing so we open ourselves up to certain cognitive biases such as framing, anchoring and confirmation bias. If these are formed early in a trading career they can be detrimental to our equity curves and potential as a successful trader.

So perhaps good traders aren’t born but rather made. Traders are made by the habits they form. It takes, on average, 21 days to form a habit while taking much longer to unlearn one. Certain characteristic traits, namely Conscientiousness with two of its facets–self-efficacy and self-discipline, lend themselves nicely to forming good habits. Other characteristic traits, such as Neuroticism, can lead to bad habits. It’s therefore important to know what characteristic traits you bring to the markets.

If you’ve been in the markets for a while and find yourself unsuccessful, the culprit may be the habits and biases you’ve formed early in your trading. As humans our brains have a difficult time in distinguishing between good and bad habits. The good news is that bad habits can be changed into good habits through interrupting the habit cycle and changing the routine. Interrupting the cycle is easier than it sounds and well worth the effort as longevity in the markets as a successful trader is the reward.

Six Positive Trading Behaviors

  
  Education
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6-1) Fresh Ideas – I’ve yet to see a very successful trader utilize the common  chart patterns and indicator functions on software (oscillators, trendline tools, etc.) as primary sources for trade ideas. Rather, they look at markets in fresh  ways, interpreting shifts in supply and demand from the order book or from  transacted volume; finding unique relationships among sectors and markets; uncovering historical trading patterns; etc. Looking at markets in creative ways  helps provide them with a competitive edge.

 2) Solid Execution – If they’re buying, they’re generally waiting for a  pullback and taking advantage of weakness; if they’re selling, they patiently  wait for a bounce to get a good price. On average, they don’t chase markets  up or down, and they pick their price levels for entries and exits. They won’t lift  a market offer if they feel there’s a reasonable opportunity to get filled on a bid. (more…)

Psychological Makeup

  
  Education
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makeupYou learn to distinguish the good traders from the bad, the successful techniques from the unsuccessful, and the good habits from the faulty. You also learn to distinguish the lover from the fighter, the winners from the losers, the serious from the frivolous, the cerebral from the superficial, and the friend from the foe. But above all, you learn that the psychological makeup of the trader is the single most critical element of success.

Lessons from the Wizards

  
  Education
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All successful traders use methods that suit their personality; You are neither Waren Buffett nor George Soros nor Jesse Livermore; Don’t assume you can trade like them.

What the market does is beyond your control; Your reaction to the market, however, is not beyond your control. Indeed, its the ONLY thing you can control.

To be a winner, you have to be willing to take a loss; (The Stop-Loss Breakdown)

HOPE is not a word in the winning Trader’s vocabulary;

When you are on a losing streak — and you will eventually find yourself on one — reduce your position size;

Don’t underestimate the time it takes to succeed as a trader — it takes 10 years to become very good at anything; (There Are No Shortcuts)

Trading is a vocation — not a hobby

Have a business/trading plan

Identify your greatest weakness, Be honest — and DEAL with it

There are times when the best thing to do is nothing; Learn to recognize these times
(Nothing Doing)

Being a great trader is a process. It’s a race with no finish line.

Other people’s opinions are meaningless to you; Make your own trading decisions
(The Wrong Crowd)

Analyze your past trades. Study what happened to the stocks after you closed the position. Consider your P&L game tapes and go over them the way Vince Lombardi Bill Parcells reviewed past Superbowls

Excessive leverage can knock you out of the game permanently

The Best traders continue to learn — and adapt to changing conditions

Don’t just stand there and let the truck roll over you

Being wrong is acceptable — staying wrong is unforgivable

Contain your losses (Protect Your Backside)

Good traders manage the downside; They don’t worry about the upside

Wall street research reports are biased

Knowing when to get out of a position is as important as when to get in

To excel, you have to put in hard work

Discipline, Discipline, Discipline !

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