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TRADE WHAT IS NOT WHAT YOU THINK SHOULD BE

tradewhatis

Trade what is… for in doing so your trading is based on fact, substance and reality.  It provides clarity, confidence, manageability, and useful feedback for consistent success where appreciation for winning, and respect for losing, keeps you in the game.

Do not trade what you think should be….for in doing so your trading is based on egotism, a false sense of foresight, the desire for validation and approval, and the “win at all cost” mentality, which  leads to confusion, anxiety, anger, and despair…not to mention the inability to trade another day.

Focus on Trading Solutions

* How can I trade with discipline?
* How can I find the right places to enter trades?
* How can I manage risk better?
* How can I trade with confidence?
* How can I stick with my winning trades?
* How can I best prepare for the trading day?
* How can I decide the best stocks to be trading?
* How can I decide when I shouldn’t be trading?

Let’s turn those problem-focused questions into solution-focused ones:
* When have I been trading with good discipline? What do I do differently at those times?
* When have I executed trades well? What helped me find good prices for my entries?
* When have I done a good job managing the risk of a particular trade or a particular trading day? What did I draw upon to implement good risk management? (more…)

10 Mistakes -Done By 95% Traders

  1. Not honoring your original stops. Big losses make winning systems losing ones.
  2. Quit trading it during drawdowns. All systems have losing streaks, the key is to manage risk and stick to it until the system has time to play out with profits as the market becomes conducive to your system’s method.
  3. Lack of discipline, drifting from taking defined entries and exit signals to  your own opinions is hazardous.
  4. Trading too big, no system can survive huge positions sizing that makes the first string of losses the last.
  5. Style drift is deadly, slowly changing your trading system during active trades is not good. Research has to happen after hours when the market is closed and backtested before changes are made.
  6. If you can’t mentally and emotionally deal with the equity curve of your trading style then you can’t trade it long term. You can’t quite during losing streaks or get too excited during winning streaks.
  7. You have to believe that your method will work over the long term, confidence comes from research, backtesting, and homework.
  8. Don’t trade someone else’s system, build your own. Custom to fit who you are by using the principles that you believe in and work.
  9. Trading too big during losing streaks ruins the potential of winning, don’t try to get back the blood the market took from you instead try to stop the bleeding by trading smaller and smaller until a new winning streak emerges.
  10. Straying from the trading plan and making one big, bold, can’t miss trade and blow up all your previous profits. Don’t let greed make you do something stupid, stick to the plan.

Cruel to be Kind

Many people come up to me, the most recent being a superior Greek Trader, Mr. Lambis, telling me that their two favorite books are Reminiscences of a Stock Operator and Edspec. I tell them they are cruel by being kind. Here’s why.
History Lessons for Investors: An annotated reissue of Edwin LeFevre’s
Reminiscences of a Stock Operator is reviewed by hedge-fund manager and
author Victor Niederhoffer.”

IMAGINE THAT MASTER NOVELIST and chess
aficionado Vladimir Nabokov wrote a fictional memoir about
Capablanca—the 1920s world champion who never made a mistake on the
board—and that Bobby Fisher then published an updated and annotated
version, incorporating all of the important developments of modern
chess strategy, along with a foreword by Anatoly Karpov.

A similar multilayered feast on investment is now available, with minor differences. Edwin Lefevre’s Reminiscences of a Stock Operator
is a novel told in the first person by a character inspired by
legendary trader Jesse Livermore. This classic is now graced with
extensive annotations by investment advisor Jon Markman and a foreword
by hedge-fund manager Paul Tudor Jones.

The result is big and beautiful, cutting across two centuries of
booms and busts and market and economic history, with a myriad of
vintage historical photos and instructive historical charts throughout.

One of Lefevre’s favorite adages is that there’s nothing new on Wall
Street. The similarity between the financial panic of 2008 and the 1907
panic recounted in the book is a prime example.

The numerous squeezes, manipulations,
insider trading, government hauling in of scapegoats and frauds settled
for pennies on the dollar that Lefevre and Markman recount are horses
that are found as well in the modern stable.

Livermore on patience

In a narrow market,when prices are not getting anywhere to speak of but move within a narrow range, there is no sense in trying to anticipate what the next big movement is going to be up or down. The thing to do is to watch the market, read the tape to determine the limits of the get-nowhere prices, and make up your mind that you will not take an interest until the price breaks through the limit in either direction. A speculator must concern himself with making money out of the market and not with insisting that the tape must agree with him. Never argue with it or ask it for reasons or explanations. Stock-market post-mortems don’t pay dividends.

Do you wish to gamble blindly in the hope of getting a great big profit or do you wish to speculate intelligently and get a smaller but much more probable profit?

Some Trading Secrets

  • Stop placement
    • Don’t place stops at round numbers (which are common support / resistance zones).
    • Place stops below support zones (above resistance zones) to give price every opportunity to move in desired direction.
  • Trade with the trend
    • Select stocks that are moving with the general market and industry trends.
  • Enter on breakouts near the yearly high
    • Breakouts from chart patterns within a third of the yearly high perform best (statistically). If price doesn’t rise within a few days, consider selling immediately.
  • Exit only on expected significant price turns
    • Don’t be so quick to sell. Learn to predict significant price turns.
  • Use trendlines as sell signals
    • If prices are trending up and then drop below a trendline, the trend isn’t up any longer. However it doesn’t mean that the trend is down.
    • Victor Sperandeo’s criteria to determine if a trend has changed from up to down: (i) price drops below an up-sloping trendline, (ii) lower high (or failed breakout), (iii) lower low.
  • Ignore news
    • Don’t believe scenarios spun by news outlets.

10 Things I Learned from Steve Jobs about Trading and Life

Less is more, simple is good.

That’s been one of my mantras—focus and simplicity. Simple can be harder than complex; you have to work hard to get your thinking clean to make it simple.

Your first loss is your best loss

Sometimes when you innovate, you make mistakes. It is best to admit them quickly, and get on with improving your other innovations.

When studying the market and speculating about the future, the past is all we have.

You can’t connect the dots looking forward; you can only connect them looking backward. So you have to trust that the dots will somehow connect in your future. You have to trust in something — your gut, destiny, life, karma, whatever. This approach has never let me down, and it has made all the difference in my life.

No one gets paid for originality – you get paid for making money. You should be happy to take other people’s good ideas and run with them, as long as you understand exactly why you are in the trade and take full responsibility of the results. If you don’t know why you are in a trade, you won’t know when to exit. (more…)

The Man Who Thinks He Can- Written some 100 years ago , which nicely captures the value of 'Self Belief'

The Man Who Thinks He Can.
By Walter D.Wintle.
If you think you are beaten, you are
If you think you dare not, you don’t,
If you like to win, but you think you can’t
It is almost certain you won’t.
If you think you’ll lose, you’re lost
For out of the world we find,
Success begins with a fellow’s will
It’s all in the state of mind.
If you think you are outclassed, you are
You’ve got to think high to rise,
You’ve got to be sure of yourself before
You can ever win a prize.
Life’s battles don’t always go
To the stronger or faster man,
But soon or late the man who wins
Is the man WHO THINKS HE CAN!
Traders Must Read ……………….EveryDay
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