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Stock Market Success

SUCCESS11)  The psychological model – What makes great traders, this model  asserts, is self-mastery.  Great traders don’t necessarily possess  better trading methods or secrets, but apply common wisdom more  consistently, with less emotional interference, and therefore with  better risk management.  Developing trading expertise is a function of  developing oneself in this model.  

 2)  The scientific model – What makes great traders according to this  model is superior research.  Markets exhibit cause-effect  relationships, and these relationships shift over time.  The role of  research is to uncover these patterns and capitalize upon them.  Such  a model is, in a sense, the opposite of the psychological model.  It  hypothesizes that, once you discover inefficiencies in the  marketplace, these can be incorporated into mechanical systems that  eliminate any troublesome human elements from trading.   (more…)

7 Ways to Become an Unsuccessful Trader

If you’d prefer to become an unsuccessful trader, you can start by making the following common trading mistakes.

-The first big mistake is the flawed logic of extrapolation. Many traders and investors assume that a trend will remain in force until an “event” comes along to change it. But market trends are not like billiard balls on a pool table. This false assumption will put you on the wrong side of the market more times than not, especially at major turning points.

-The second big mistake is to suppose that news events drive market trends. In fact, the opposite is true: economic, political and social events lag market trends.

-One common mistake is to buy puts or calls that are way “out of the money,” with no other transactions to compliment them. Unless your timing is absolutely perfect — and who has perfect timing? — your chance of success is low. It’s like buying a lottery ticket.

-Another common mistake is to buy options with too little time left to expiration. With less than one month to expiration, the time decay begins to accelerate and the chances of success diminish.

-In the middle of a corrective pattern, it’s common to run out of patience while waiting for confirmation of a trend change. You have to give corrective patterns time to unfold before you jump in. This requires discipline, and a solid understanding of the many ways corrective patterns can unfold.

-Too many traders think Elliott wave is a trading system that tells you exactly where to enter and exit a particular market. That’s the biggest misconception. The reality is that it’s an analytical and forecasting tool, which helps you develop and use your own trading system, based on your own personal risk tolerance.

-Traders tend to over-rely on momentum indicators such as RSI, Stochastics and MACD to precisely spot turning points. But to paraphrase Mark Twain, markets can stay overbought or oversold a lot longer than either you or I can remain solvent.

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