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Stick to your game plan

the-game-plan-poster-425Sticking to your game plan is the hardest thing to do as a trader.The reason it’s so hard is that it take strict discipline and an emotional detachment from the outcome.Knowing what to do and doing it are two seprate issues.Trading involves so many unforseen elements and market fores the mishaps and fuzzy thinking materialize even at the most advanced levels.The only way to trade suscessfully through this sea of uncontrollable elements is to have the discipline to stick to your game plan.Your plan is the shield that no market force can penetrate ,unless let it.

The main reason experienced traders lose is that they fail to follow their own rules.There are hundreds of reasons and excuses for deviating from a trading plan-for breaking your rules.In the long run ,the reasons make zero difference.In the end ,people are judged by their results ,not the quality of their excuses.In an unstructured environment with multiple sources of reason pulling you in different directions ,rules become the cornerstone for success.

A trading plan is predictable.It provides sources of reason given any number of existing circumstances.It filers out noise and encourages discipline.Remember that having a trading plan and sticking to it is invaluable.The simple recognition of this fact can provide the stimulas to adhere to your own plan.

Trading Wisdom for Traders

This exchange with a gentleman named Ed Seykota, who turned in a healthy 250,000 percent return for his clients over sixteen years, caught my eye:

What are the elements of good trading?
The elements of good trading are: (1) cutting losses, (2) cutting losses, and (3) cutting losses. If you can follow these three rules, you may have a chance.
How do you handle a losing streak?
I handle losing streaks by trimming down my activity. I just wait it out. Trying to trade during a losing streak is emotionally devastating. Trying to play “catch up” is lethal.

 A little later in the interview, there was this:

What are the trading rules you live by?
a. Cut losses.
b. Ride winners.
c. Keep bets small.
d. Follow the rules without question.
e. Know when to break the rules.
Your last two rules are cute because they are contradictory. Seriously now, which do you believe: Follow the rules, or know when to break the rules?
I believe both. Mostly I follow the rules. As I keep studying the markets, I sometimes find a new rule which breaks and then replaces a previous rule. Sometimes I get to a personal breakpoint. When that happens, I just get out of the markets altogether and take a vacation until I feel that I am ready to follow the rules again. Perhaps some day, I will have a more explicit rule for breaking rules.

 Never underestimate the importance of psychology and attitude as crucial elements of successful trading.

Avoid EGO in Trading

“Don’t be a hero. Don’t have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability. Don’t ever feel that you are very good. The second you do, you are dead.”
“At other times in the past, investors lost a good profit by holding on too long, trying to get a long-term capital gain. Some investors, even erroneously, convince themselves they can’t sell
because of taxes—strong ego, weak judgment.”
“When did you turn from a loser to a winner?When I was able to separate my ego needs from making money. When I was able to accept being wrong.Before, admitting I was wrong was more upsetting than losing the money.”
“Most traders who fail have large egos and can’t admit that they are wrong.”
“Clearly, flexibility and suppression of ego are key elements of Gelber’s success.”
“Actually, the best traders have no ego. To be a great trader, you have to have a big enough ego only in the sense that you have confidence in yourself.”
Ego can also stop you from being profitable as a trader. Maybe you only like to short because you think this economny is going to H____ and the market rallies for a month and the whole time you try shorting it when you should be buying the pullbacks. In this scenario, the stongly held belief system is affecting the traders ability to see what is really going on and costs either being stopped out, or only making a small profit and missing the big moves etc.
So, the more we can become egoless, flexible in our mind and not have a preconceived direction the market is going in, the better we will be as a trader.  (more…)

7 Points to Bulid Trading Confidence

1. Frequently visualize a successful trading process. What goes into good trading for you? Make sure you see the preparation required, the focus you have during the trading day, and the continous learning from both winning and losing trades to keep getting more effective.

2. Increase your level of physical fitness, as this will enhance both your trading alertness and give a boost to your self-image simultaneously. Both of these elements make you a more confidence trader.

3. Make a list of your strengths. Review this list regularly to remind yourself of how successful you really are.

4. Eliminate negative thoughts and memories. When they occur, replace them with positive self-statements (for example, “I create my own luck” or “I have a good written plan of how I will execute my trades”).

5. Have a general strategy going into each trading day. When you prepare the day before, you position yourself to be proactive and gain confidence as you implement your plan. How aware are you of what you’re experiencing in your mind, body and soul at any moment?  You need to set up a monitoring system at the end of each trading day, to summarize what you executed according to your rules and what you did not.  Look for patterns in your behavior, that you can copy if they work for you, or minimize if they are costing you.

6. Create positive body language regardless of the gain or loss on that trading day. The way you act will often influence the way you feel for future trades. The more confident you feel, the more confidence you will show in your trading.

7. Improve on areas of weakness during preparation time and you’ll create more confidence and belief during the trading day. 

Focus on one of these seven tips at a time, until you can build that area as a habit in your routine.  This will service to greatly improve your trading confidence over time.

Ed Seykota’s 6 Rules from the Whipsaw Song

1. Do not be overly concerned about whipsaws a good trend pays for them all.

A whipsaw is when you enter a position but get stopped out quickly when the market reverses opposite to your position.  If you are a trend trader this may happen many times in a row in a range bound market.  This can be very frustrating to a trader and it may cause them to completely change their method.  The fact is that one really good trend will pay for all of these whipsaws as long as you keep your losses small, and if you change your system you lose the benefit of that big trend.

To avoid whipsaw losses, stop trading. -Ed Seykota

2. When you catch a Trend, ride it to the end.

Your system must be able to take a position in a trending market, but then also be able to ride that trend to the end.  Most new traders will jump out of trades before they are finished trending because they are scared the market has gone too far and will take back their paper profits.  Let a trailing stop take you out of a trade when the trend is over, and only exit once you are stopped out.

“The trend is your friend except at the end where it bends.” -Ed Seykota (more…)

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