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SEC disapproves plan to list bitcoin ETF

ETF rejected

It was already a tough day for bitcoin but news that the SEC has disapproved a plan to list a bitcoin ETF on NYSE ARCA is now breaking. Regulators cited concerns over Bitcoin manipulation.
There are a few people trying to get an ETF approved, I’m not sure exactly which one this is but it doesn’t bode well for anyone who is trying to convince the SEC.

Bitcoin off to a weak start in 2020

Bitcoin on Coinbase is down $-265 and back down below $7000

The price of bitcoin is off to a weak start in 2020. The price on Coinbase is trading down $265 at $6951.83.  The hi reached $7217. The low reached $6903.
Bitcoin on Coinbase is down $-265 and back down below $7000
In addition to breaking back below the natural level of $7000, the price is moving further away from its 100 and 200 hour moving averages. Those moving averages currently come in at $7219.51 and $7231.48 respectively.
Over the last 7 or so trading days the price has been fluctuating below and then above those moving averages. The high last week extended up to $7531 after breaking above the moving averages at $7239 on December 28.
The price move back below the moving averages on December 30. They were retested on December 31 and again on January 1 before rotating back to the downside yesterday. Bearish
In addition to the fall below the moving averages, the price today also fell below the 50% retracement of the move up from the December 18 low at $7059.50. Bearish.
That break targeted the 61.8% retracement at $6910.93 next. Buyers have leaned near that retracement level. We are currently seeing a modest bounce. It will likely take a move back above the 50% retracement level at $7059.50 to solicit more buying.
Should the price break below the 61.8% retracement, however, I would expect further downside momentum. The low price in December reached down to $6430. That would be a target on increased selling pressure.

Bitcoin tries to restart after the 25% plunge lower today

Bitcoin falls 25% from the high..

The price of Bitcoin moved up by about 22% to the high yesterday. Today from the high the price fell 25%.  Wow!
Bitcoin falls 25% from the high..
Technically, the first low (going into the close yesterday) stalled at the 100 hour MA (blue line in the chart above).  There was a sharp run back higher but the 2nd run lower cracked the 100 hour MA, the 200 hour MA (green line) and finally stalled near a lower trend line at $10300 (the low reached $10330).
What now?
The price is trading above and below the 200 hour MA at $10809.76.  The 50% midpoint from the June 10 low comes in at $10688.61.  If the price can’t stay above those levels, the sellers remain more in control. If the price can get and stay above, a move back above the 100 hour MA at $11636.83 will need to be breached.
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