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U.S., U.K. 'most stretched' by debt, Moody's says

Uncle Sam isn’t in danger of losing his top credit rating, but he’s not in the greatest shape, either.

So says Moody’s Investors Service in its quarterly assessment of triple-A-rated countries.

Paying the interest on their debt remains manageable for these countries, Moody’s says, so their governments aren’t in any immediate danger of a downgrade.

But among the AAA countries, the U.S. and the U.K. are “most stretched” by their debt obligations, Moody’s says.

The debt ratings are important because a downgrade raises a country’s borrowing costs. And virtually every big country faces a difficult challenge in removing bailout and stimulus money quickly enough to avoid inflation and slowly enough to keep the weak recovery going.

“This exposes governments to substantial execution risk in the implementation of their exit strategies, which could yet make their credit more vulnerable,” says Arnaud Mares, senior vice president in Moody’s sovereign risk group and the main author of the report.

Sterling, Dubai: a liquidation love story

In case you were wondering why sterling might be suffering on the back of the Dubai story, Reuters reports on Thursday:

dubaiLONDON, Nov 26 (Reuters) – The Dubai government could be forced to hold a firesale of its international real estate if creditors to two of its flagship companies reject proposals to put near-term debt obligations on ice until May 2010.

International property advisers are bracing for a potential slew of instructions to revalue and sell trophy assets owned by Dubai World and its many property-owning units as the emirate struggles to shrink its $59 billion debt pile.

“We do expect the Dubai government to step up efforts to raise capital via real estate sales, and sales of their UK assets in particular,” James Lewis, a member of the Gulf capital markets team at property consultant Knight Frank told Reuters.       Lewis said Dubai had a better chance of denting its massive financial liabilities if it raided its group portfolio, which comprises international landmarks such as the Grand Buildings close to London’s Trafalgar Square, the Mandarin Oriental hotel in New York and the Victoria & Albert Waterfront complex in Cape Town, South Africa.

“The simple supply and demand imbalance (in Dubai) is horrific, which begs the question of why you would want to buy commercial and residential property there if you couldn’t be sure of letting it,” Lewis said. 

What’s more, they add: (more…)

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