We all want certainty both in and outside the charts. Problem is certainty is nothing more than hope wrapped in expectation. Life is uncertain. A successful trade is uncertain. If certainty is what we want then certainty we will get. However, be prepared to meet certainty’s friends, doubt and disappointment. Doubt and disappointment are, shall we say, in “cahoots” with certainty. You can’t have one without the other. This is a blessing really that we all too often turn into a curse. A blessing because we have two new friends who can help keep us balanced, honest, and above all, human. A curse because we choose to ignore their advice when we should be embracing it. Embrace it you say? Yes. Because doubt and disappointment can lead to new discoveries and a deeper appreciation for what life has to offer. Maybe, just maybe, what we believe to be certain, you know, that which we wrap up in hope and expectation, is not so certain after all. Maybe, just maybe, our friends doubt and disappointment can lead us down a better path and a better life. Maybe, just maybe, doubt and disappointment can teach us a new understanding about the markets and the charts, wherein we pin so many of our hopes and expectations. (more…)
Archives of “better path” tag
rssDoubt and Disappointment
We all want certainty both in and outside the charts. Problem is certainty is nothing more than hope wrapped in expectation. Life is uncertain. A successful trade is uncertain. If certainty is what we want then certainty we will get. However, be prepared to meet certainty’s friends, doubt and disappointment. Doubt and disappointment are, shall we say, in “cahoots” with certainty. You can’t have one without the other. This is a blessing really that we all too often turn into a curse. A blessing because we have two new friends who can help keep us balanced, honest, and above all, human. A curse because we choose to ignore their advice when we should be embracing it. Embrace it you say? Yes. Because doubt and disappointment can lead to new discoveries and a deeper appreciation for what life has to offer. Maybe, just maybe, what we believe to be certain, you know, that which we wrap up in hope and expectation, is not so certain after all. Maybe, just maybe, our friends doubt and disappointment can lead us down a better path and a better life. Maybe, just maybe, doubt and disappointment can teach us a new understanding about the markets and the charts, wherein we pin so many of our hopes and expectations.
What a ride this market has been on! No roller coaster can compare. And the ride is far from over and triple digit days will continue for some time. Today could easily be a triple digit day to the upside or downside or both! Who knows? We have no certainty about where this consolidation will end and in what direction. All I know is when a certain trend begins we will still be faced with doubt and disappointment, either because we doubt the new trend or are disappointed that the direction is not quite what we expected, when we expected it. Then again, nothing in the market is quite what we expect. Don’t be surprised if the market does exactly the opposite of what you want or expect. If you are certain of its direction…I have two friends to introduce you to.
Ray Dalio Principles
Afew gems taken from Ray Dalio’s Principles. Here’s the link to the ‘Principles’ Ray Dalio founder of Bridgewater Associates published:
- I remained wary about being overconfident, and I figured out how to effectively deal with my not knowing. I dealt with my not knowing by either continuing to gather information until I reached the point that I could be confident or by eliminating my exposure to the risks of not knowing.
- While most others seem to believe that learning what we are taught is the path to success, I believe that figuring out for yourself what you want and how to get it is a better path.
- How much do you let what you wish to be true stand in the way of seeing what is really true?
- How much do you worry about looking good relative to actually being good?
- The most important qualities for successfully diagnosing problems are logic, the ability to see multiple possibilities, and the willingness to touch people’s nerves to overcome the ego barriers that stand in the way of truth.
- Know what you want and stick to it if you believe it’s right, even if others want to take you in another direction.
- In a nutshell, this is the whole approach that I believe will work best for you—the best summary of what I want the people who are working with me to do in order to accomplish great things. I want you to work for yourself, to come up with independent opinions, to stress-test them, to be wary about being overconfident, and to reflect on the consequences of your decisions and constantly improve.