Probability of losing trades within a 50-period x Winrate. Save this as a reminder to yourself for future losing streaks.
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Large banks need $1 trillion each in high-quality capital by Friday
The Fed is going to try and combat supply-driven inflation with tools that are designed to reduce demand. The result will be an even faster deterioration in real income.
China Evergrande has a US$45.2m coupon payment due today, Wednesday 29 September 2021
Eyes will be focused on what happens with this. I suspect we will hear not much at all. There is a 30-day ‘grace’ period which the firm is likely to milk to the maximum.
South Korea media report on North Korean leader Kim’s absence
Yonhap with some curious info, says that the Supreme People’s Assembly meeting in North Korea on Tuesday convened without leader Kim Jong Un present.
Yonhap cite KCNA as the source.
No further details at this stage.
Maybe Kim was watching the missile launch?
- North Korea missile launch
- NK tested a hypersonic missile
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KCNA is North Korean state media
Nasdaq: The Death dome .
NASDAQ index has its worst day since March 18
Major indices all closed sharply lower
- The NASDAQ index got hammered today with a decline of -2.83%.
- It was the worst day since March 18.
- The NASDAQ index has closed lower for the third consecutive day
- The S&P index fell 2% on the day and it was its worst day since May 12.
- The energy sector was the only gaining sector in the S&P
- Technology was the worst performer
- The Dow industrial average is down around 650 point at the lows.
The catalyst is rising treasury yields. The 10 year yield is up 5.9 basis points. The 30 year bond is up 9.2 basis points.
Stocks moving back to the downside going into the close
S&P index down near 2%
the major stock indices are moving to the downside going into the close. The Dow industrial average is down 561 points or -1.61% at 34310.54. The S&P index is down 88 points or -1.99% 4354.66. The NASDAQ is index is down -408 points or -2.73% 14559.
For the S&P index is getting close to its 100 day moving average at 4342.11. A move in close below that level would be more bearish going forward.
In the forex, the US dollar remains the strongest of the majors with the moves against the GBP, NZD and AUD the biggest movers (1.17%, 0.84% and 0.65%). The GBP is the weakest of the major currency pairs today. The dollar index moved to a new year high today and is up 4.18% on the year.
In the US debt market, the 10 year yields are up 5.3 basis points while the 30 year yield is up 8.3 basis point and trades comfortably above the 2.0% level at 2.078%. The 2– 10 year spread has widened from 117.5 basis points to 123.2 basis points today.
Thought For A Day
