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What We Can Learn From Bamboo

A problem many market participants encounter is that they hold rigid views and systems which, just like the strongest steel and concrete, are destroyed under the right conditions.

It is nature that produces the strongest products of all, and we can learn from nature how to handle our trading. Take bamboo, for example: “the plants endure cold winters and extremely hot summers and are sometimes the only trees left standing in the aftermath of a typhoon. They may not reach the heights of the other trees, but they are strong and stand tall in extreme weather.”

This article “10 Simple Life Lessons from Bamboo” provides many lessons for us all.

Here are a few amazing things I have learned about bamboo over the years:

1. The young can grow very fast – 3 feet in a day.

2. Thickness of the young and the mature is about the same.

3. Most grow on barren land.

4. A whole forest of bamboos can come from a single root.

5. They blossom once about 60 years, after which they all die and allow new seeds to grow. (more…)

Becoming a Mature Trader

Growing up (which takes a lifetime) is like finding out what kind of canoe you’re in – and learning how to row it safely and effectively – and learning to accept yours is not the best in the race.

The genetic factor in IQ is well established, which doesn’t (and shouldn’t) stop anyone from attempting to improve their knowledge and skill at reasoning. That said, people with no facility at math shouldn’t aspire to be physicists, and good-looking, loquacious, charming people shouldn’t sit all day behind a computer.

There is evidence that this analysis pertains to optimism/pessimism. Some investors may find they do very well in exuberant bull markets but crash when things go bad; others miss out on “irrational” bull runs, but cautiously avoid crashes. How would society look if everyone had the same rosy disposition, and philosophy that everything bad is temporary and will ultimately and triumphantly reverse by dint of inherent human goodness, the American way, and our G-dly chosen-ness amongst a universe of 10^100^100 habitable planets?

Pessimism (skepticism, risk-aversion, worry, etc) has its place. Some fraction of Jews living in pre-Nazi Europe fled at a time when others deemed flight too fearful and overwrought, with well known results. The survival/perpetuation of fear and pessimism in the population is evidence that it has value. And the difficulty buying when the world is on fire, and holding when money is free illustrates why the rich are in the minority, most heroes are dead, and Gini ratios naturally go up until acted on by the hands of governments or G-ds.

Week Eight

Lots of back and forth this week, but not much progress in either direction!

SPX-WEEKLY

At the end of the both February and the 8th trading week of the year, here is where we now stand:

  • Dow: -0.74% this week & -0.99% for year

  • S&P 500: -0.42% this week & -0.95% this year

  • Nasdaq: -0.25% this week & -1.36% this year

  • Russell 2000: -0.48% this week & +0.51% this year

It was also a very positive February overall with +2% gains in both the S&P & Dow and +4% gains in the Nasdaq & Russell. In fact, following impressive +3% gains in week seven, the market refused to roll over or give much ground this week.

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