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Passion & Hope -Two Key Drivers

  
  Education
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The two key drivers of success in any endeavor is passion and hope.

Passion creates the energy to do what we need to do to get to where we want to go. Many times money is just the side effect of the work we do driven by our own passion and desire for success with little thought given to the monetary reward that could happen during the battle for success. When we are passionate about something we just love doing it, we just love the game itself and everything about being in that game and playing it. True professionals do not use their bank account as a daily motivator to work, they are doing what they were born to do, they are just being who they are and what they are.

Hope is what gets us up in the morning and keeps us working toward our goals. Hope gives us the ability to do hard work today for a potential reward in the future. Hope sees an account at $0 and sees that it could be over a million dollars if the right plan is followed. Hope gives us the energy to work hard in our present circumstances believing that we are receiving an education that will show us the path to where we want to be. The greatest cause of depression is being realistic about the present and future and the loss of hope in tomorrow.
being better than today.  Know what you want, and understand how to get there. If you are willing to do what you have to do and be willing to pay the price that your goal costs you can have what you want.

“A man is a success if he gets up in the morning and gets to bed at night, and in between he does what he wants to do.” 
― Bob Dylan

Amos Hostetter-Trading Wisdom

  
  Education
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Amos Hostetter: Trading Dont’s

  • Don’t sacrifice your position for fluctuations.
  • Don’t expect the market to end in a blaze of glory. Look out for warnings.
  • Don’t expect the tape to be a lecturer. It’s enough to see that something is wrong.
  • Never try to sell at the top. It isn’t wise. Sell after a reaction if there is no rally.
  • Don’t imagine that a market that has once sold at 150 must be cheap at 130.
  • Don’t buck the market trend.
  • Don’t look for the breaks. Look out for warnings.
  • Don’t try to make an average from a losing game.
  • Never keep goods that show a loss, and sell those that show a profit. Get out with the least loss, and sit tight for greater profits.

Amos Hostetter: Dangers in Trading caused by Human Nature

  • Fear: fearful of profit and one acts too soon.
  • Hope: hope for a change in the forces against one.
  • Lack of confidence in ones own judgment.
  • Never cease to do your own thinking.
  • A man must not swear eternal allegiance to either the bear or bull side.
  • The individual fails to stick to facts!
  • People believe what it pleases them to believe.

Think Less & Keep It Simple

  
  Education
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“One of the most difficult things to get investors and traders to understand is that no matter how much they investigate an investment, they will probably do better if they did less. This is certainly counter-intuitive, but the way that our brains function almost guarantees that this will happen. This kind of failure also happens to those investors frequently regarded as the smartest. In essence, the more information that investors have, the more opportunity that they have to choose the misinformation that suits their emotional purposes.

 Speculation is observation, pure and experiential. Thinking isn’t necessary and often just gets in the way. Yet everywhere we turn, we read and hear opinion after opinion and explanation on top of explanation which claim to connect the dots between economic cause and market effect. Most of the marketplace is long on rationale and explanation and short on methods.

A series of experiments to examine the mental processes of doctors who were diagnosing illnesses found little relationship between the thoroughness of data collection and accuracy of the resulting diagnosis. Another study was done with psychologists and patient information and diagnosis. Again, increasing knowledge yielded no better results but did significantly increase confidence, something which the smartest among us are most prone to have in abundance. Unfortunately, in the markets, only the humble survive.

The inference is clear and important. Experienced analysts have an imperfect understanding of what information they actually use in making judgments. They are unaware of the extent to which their judgments are determined by just a few dominant factors, rather than by the systematic integration of all of their available information. Analysts use much less available information than they think they do.

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