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Winners quit all the time. They just quit the right stuff at the right time
The market is better at predicting the news than the news is at predicting the market & other insights from G. Loeb
Traders -Think it over
Trading systems shouldn't be solely driven by past data. "Intelligence" is maximizing your future possibilities.- VIDEO
Trading Game is Simple It’s Just not easy
I believe that good traders are able to trade the markets effortlessly – it’s simple to them. But getting to the point of doing anything effortlessly is not easy. In fact, it’s really hard. A good analogy would be describing an athletes ability to perform his or her skill. If we took two people – one being a person who runs two miles everyday versus a person who hasn’t ran for the past two months, who will have the easier time running one mile? The answer is simple of course. The person who runs everyday will be able to run one mile easily – it will be effortless to them. However, the person who hasn’t ran in two months will find it extremely hard to and likely have to take breaks in-between so that he or she can finish.
In order for trading to become simple, there are some crucial and necessary steps that need to be taken. There needs to be consistency in the traders approach to the markets. It’s unfortunate, but we are in a day and age where traders are obsessed with just “trading for the fun of it”, and they aren’t realizing that that’s what’s preventing them from being consistent and successful. Again, if we go back to our analogy, does a great athlete deter from their routine? No. In fact, they have routines that boil down to eating, and sleeping habits in order to keep themselves moving in the right direction. It’s really not a mystery, but for whatever reason most traders seem to fail that this approach is what’s needed if you want to be good.
There really is a direct correlation between traders who are good and traders who are not. There is a direct correlation between traders who are consistent and traders who ride the roller coaster. That difference is preparation. Preparation and repetition is what makes anyone great at what they do. But preparing is not easy. It takes focus, will, and a lot of discipline. In trading that translates to having a very specific trading plan, with specific rules and the discipline to do it every single day. And as you prepare yourself everyday in your approach to the markets, you’ll find that trading becomes simple. It becomes effortless.
So if you want to be a good trader, scratch that – if you want to become a great trader, step back and think about what it really takes, and prepare yourself. It won’t be easy, but sooner or later you’ll realize how simple it really is.
July 3, 1884 – Dow Jones published it's 1st stock average
Trend Following & Momentum Trading – 3 Points
Good Habits
When a new trader comes to me for advice, quite often they have suffered initial losses from their trading activities (sometimes heavy ones) and have not really had a focussed overall trading plan set out, or if they have, they’ve not followed it.
Even if you start trading with limited capital, it is important that you start ingraining good habits as early as you can. Principal amongst these is ensuring that you do not trade too large positions relative to your overall equity.
Depending on your chosen method of trading, transaction costs can also eat into a small account, and the trading vehicle you choose to use should be carefully considered.
However, it is a well known maxim that the vast majority of new traders blow up their accounts within 6 months. This is not necessarily as a result of their method of choosing their entries and exits (although that undoubtedly helps) but more as a result of risking way too much on each trade, or in extreme cases having a complete disregard for risk.
Trading is a marathon not a sprint, and to stay in the game you need to exhibit strong risk control right from the off. The sooner you can ingrain that in your method and your mind, the better. Even the best did not necessarily get a grip on risk control early in their careers – in Market Wizards Paul Tudor Jones talks about losing 70% of his equity on a single trade relatively early in his career. It was only after that experience did he go away and implement rigorous risk control.
From having risk under control, unemotional trading decisions can be taken, improving your mindset and allowing you to follow your system with no risk of self-sabotage. Allied to a proven method for selecting entry and exit points, you will be well on the journey to trading success.