Below is the full statement from the June 2022 FOMC meeting:

Overall economic activity appears to have picked up after edging down in the first quarter. Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher energy prices, and broader price pressures.

The invasion of Ukraine by Russia is causing tremendous human and economic hardship. The invasion and related events are creating additional upward pressure on inflation and are weighing on global economic activity. In addition, COVID-related lockdowns in China are likely to exacerbate supply chain disruptions. The Committee is highly attentive to inflation risks.

The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. In support of these goals, the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 1‑1/2 to 1-3/4 percent and anticipates that ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate. In addition, the Committee will continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities, as described in the Plans for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet that were issued in May. The Committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective.

In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee’s goals. The Committee’s assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on public health, labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments.

Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C. Williams, Vice Chair; Michelle W. Bowman; Lael Brainard; James Bullard; Lisa D. Cook; Patrick Harker; Philip N. Jefferson; Loretta J. Mester; and Christopher J. Waller. Voting against this action was Esther L. George, who preferred at this meeting to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 0.5 percentage point to 1-1/4 percent to 1-1/2 percent. Patrick Harker voted as an alternate member at this meeting.

Implementation Note issued June 15, 2022

Last Update: June 15, 2022

The FOMC statement from the June 14-15, 2022 meeting is out along with the updated economic forecasts. The market was pricing in an 87% chance of a 75 basis point hike with the remainder on 50 bps. Out the Fed funds futures curve, the terminal top was in May 2023 at 3.982% with a path of 75/75/50/50 priced in for the next four meetings, including today.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will host a press conference at the bottom of the hour at 2:30 pm ET.

Adding that there has been no communication yet on whether a statement would be published, citing several sources with direct knowledge of the matter. Given the market rout since Thursday last week, I want to say that there has to be some form of formal communique or response by the ECB. As such, a statement is almost likely to be a necessity to provide calm to European bond markets.

However, I would not expect there to be any specific details on the tool(s) they would be using to counter fragmentation risks. The ECB is likely to just reaffirm their commitment and resolve to the matter while perhaps hinting at efforts to address the risks in the weeks/months ahead.