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Eurostoxx futures -0.7% in early European trading
- German DAX futures -0.7%
- UK FTSE futures -0.7%
- Spanish IBEX futures -0.7%
This owes much to Europe having to play catch up to the drop in Wall Street yesterday. US futures are looking calmer so far, with S&P 500 futures up 0.1% currently. That is keeping a calmer mood among major currencies for the most part as the session gets underway.
ECB reportedly weighing up whether to announce size, duration of bond-buying scheme
‘QE but not QE’. That is the path the ECB is going to take in battling fragmentation.
Reuters is reporting that the central bank is set to announce the new tool on 21 July, alongside its first rate hike in more than a decade. But policymakers are said to be considering whether to announce the size and duration of the upcoming bond-buying scheme. There are said to be different options presented by ECB staff on the matter, so it may be that policymakers will not feel too comfortable in making it public this early on.
The sources say that one of the pros of announcing a large envelope would at least reaffirm the ECB’s commitment to fighting fragmentation but if the size is deemed as “too small” by bond traders, it could backfire instead. Keeping things vague might help to avoid the latter but at the same time, it could leave a lot of questions unanswered – which also isn’t a good thing.
As mentioned here yesterday, the ECB will bring back bond-buying alongside ‘sterilisation’ to try and convince markets of its goals. But again, whether or not this will work in practice is certainly going to be interesting to watch. Essentially, the ECB is going to backstop Italy at the expense of others so that will definitely stir up some controversy.
Federal Reserve speakers agenda for Wednesday, 29 June 2022 – Powell, Mester, Bullard
Thought For A Day
On a risk-adjusted basis, bitcoin is outperforming the S&P YTD
Sanctions will not target food, agricultural products from Russia – G7 statement
- Calls on all partners to avoid unjustified restrictive trade measures that risk food insecurity
- Stands by commitment to keep food and agricultural markets open
- Calls on those partners with large food stockpiles to make them available without distorting markets
So much fluff. And this just adds to the proposal to put a price cap on Russian oil, which I still don’t get how they are going to go about it. Good luck trying to convince India or China to get on board for that.
Federal Reserve speakers coming up on Tuesday, 28 June 2022 – Barkin and Daly
8am New York time, which is 1200 GMT:
- Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin speaks in person on the economic outlook before the Halifax County Chamber of Commerce
12:30pm New York time, 1630 GMT:
- Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly Chapman participates in a virtual fireside chat in an event hosted by LinkedIn
Daly (on top) and Barkin