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Risk trades continue to tilt towards deeper worries

Except stock markets

Here’s a quick rundown:
  • Yen crosses are the lows, including USD/JPY down 42 pips to 107.60
  • Gold at the highs, up $16 to $1515
  • US 10-year yields down 5.4 bps to 1.73%
Those are all session extremes in a sign that the market is increasingly worried about China-US talks falling apart.
The caveat is that the S&P 500 is at 2996, well off the 2984 session low. That could a combination of the Powell put and quadruple witching providing support.

US Indices close the day down and also close lower on the week

Nasdaq falls 0.8% to today

The major US stock indices are ending the session in the red for the day. The declines today also helped push/keep the week lower.
The final numbers are showing:
  • S&P index -14.72 points or -0.49% at 2992.07.
  • NASDAQ index -65.20 points or -0.80% at 8117.68
  • Dow industrial average -159.72 points or -0.59% at 26935.07
For the week, the major indices fell with the Dow industrial average falling the most.
  • S&P index, -0.51%
  • NASDAQ composite index -0.72%
  • Dow industrial average, -1.05%

US Indices close with mixed results. Earlier gains taken away.

S&P unchanged. Nasdaq up marginally. Dow down.

The major US stock indices are closing the day with mixed results.  Each however had earlier gains taken away into the close.
Looking at the three major indices, one ended unchanged, one was up marginally and one was down.  The final numbers are showing:
  • S&P index, unchanged at 3006.79. The high reach 3021.99.. The low extended to 3003.16
  • NASDAQ closed up 5.487 points or 0.07% at 8182.87. The high reached 8237.43. The low extended 28174.32
  • The Dow industrial average closed down -52.29 points or -0.19% at 27094.79. The high reached 27272.17. The low extended to 27064.21.
The chart below shows the percentage change high, the percentage change low, and the closing percentage change for the major North American and European stock indices today. European shares closed near their high levels for the day. The US major indices closed near their session lows.
S&P unchanged. Nasdaq up marginally. Dow down.

What seemed to be a negative catalyst for stocks was a report that a White House official commented that tariffs on China could go as high as 50 to 100%. That spooked the market and prices started to ratchet lower.

US Indices recover and closing near session highs

Dow industrial average is down -211 points at lows and closes at up 36 points

The US stocks recovered after the FOMC signaled a 25 basis point cut, but dot plot showed no additional eases for 2019. However, Powell did say enough in his press conference to suggest that the view can change given global risks and potential weakness. As a result, the major indices started to  recover and are ending the session near/at session highs.
Dow industrial average is down -211 points at lows and closes at up 36 points_
The levels at the close are showing:
  • S&P index +1.01 points or 0.03% at 3006.71.  The S&P was down -27.13 point at its lows.
  • NASDAQ index down -8.625 points or -0.11% at 8177.39. The NASDAQ was down -100 points at its lows
  • Dow industrial average up 36.35 points or 0.13% at 27147.29. The Dow was down -211 points at its lows
Great recovery for the major indices after being down for most of the trading day.
After the close, Microsoft announced a 11% increase in dividends and a $40 billion buyback. That has helped to push that stock up to $140.15 currently after closing the session at  $138.52.
Some of the big winners for the day included
  • PNC financial, +1.41%
  • Chipotle, +1.12%
  • DuPont, +1.05%
  • J.P. Morgan, +1.01%
  • Apple, +0.93%
  • Southwest there, +0.90%
  • Stryker, +0.89%
  • Citigroup, +0.86%
  • Deere & Company, +0.84%
  • Microsoft, +0.82%
  • Lockheed Martin, +0.74%
  • Merck, +0.63%
  • Boeing, +0.55%
  • Goldman Sachs, +0.54%
  • Walt Disney, +0.34%
Big losers on the day included:
  • FedEx, -12.93%
  • Chewy, -6.12%
  • Beyond Meat, -3.94%
  • Lyft, -3.0%
  • Rite Aid, -2.54%
  • Box, -2.36%
  • Netflix, -2.36%
  • Slack, -1.95%
  • AMD, -1.84%
  • Adobe, -1.75%
  • AT&T, -1.08%
  • General Mills, -0.93%
  • Caterpillar, -0.87%
  • Mcron, -0.71%

US Indices break 2-day slide. Close near day highs.

Late day rally sends stocks higher

A late day rally has sent stocks higher into the close. The major indices are are closing near the session highs for the day with the Nasdaq stocks leading the way.
The provisional closes are showing:
  • S&P index up 7.62 points or 0.25% at 3005.58
  • NASDAQ index up 32.47 points or 0.40% at 8186.01
  • Dow industrial average up 31.74 points or 0.12% at 27108.56/

After the close FedEx is reporting weaker than expected earnings on the top and bottom lines and lowers expectations going forward.  First-quarter revenues $17.05 billion versus $17.06 billion estimate. Earnings per share $3.05 versus $3.15 estimate. They see fiscal year EPS at $11-$13 versus estimates of $14.73. They cite trade tensions for the decline.  FedEx after the close is trading down sharply at $160.36. That is down from the closing level of $173.55

Adobe, meanwhile be on the bottom and top lines.
  • Earnings-per-share to rose by $2.05 versus $1.97 estimate
  • Revenues $2.83 billion versus $2.82 billion estimate
Adobe did lower fourth-quarter earnings-per-share to $2.25 from an estimate $2.30 and revenues to $2.97 billion versus estimate $3.02 billion.  Adobe is trading in after markets at $284.10. It closed at $284.69
Some winners for the day include:
  • Chipotle, +3.27%
  • General Motors, +2.90%
  • Boeing, +1.53%
  • Netflix, +1.53%
  • Starbucks, +1.49%
  • Stryker, +1.45%
  • micron, +1.38%
  • United airlines, +1.37%
  • McDonald’s, +1.20%
  • American Express, +1.17%
  • Twitter, +1.15%
  • Intuit, +1.02%
  • Facebook, +1.0%
Some losers on the day include:
  • Schlumberger, -2.93%
  • Papa John’s, -1.35%
  • Morgan Stanley, -1.23%
  • Charles Schwab, -1.15%
  • Cisco, -1.10%
  • Emerson, -1.10%
  • PNC financial, -0.90%
  • Caterpillar, -0.71%
  • Bank of America, -0.70%
  • Deutsche Bank, -0.61%
  • Goldman Sachs, -0.60%
  • Citigroup, -0.53%
  • J.P. Morgan, -0.50%
  • Wells Fargo, -0.49%

Overnight :Tech and healthcare help S&P 500 to highest close since July

Wall Street advanced on Wednesday with the S&P 500 closing above 3,000 for the first time since late July as a rally in tech and healthcare boosted US stocks and investors kept an eye on trade developments. The S&P 500 was up 0.7 per cent, edging closer to a fresh record high, led by healthcare and tech which were both up more than 1 per cent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.9 per cent, its sixth consecutive daily rise and its longest winning streak since June. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.1 per cent, eyeing its first advance in four days. Apple shares gained more than 3 per cent with the tech company’s market capitalisation climbing back above the $1tn mark on Wednesday as investors cheered its lower-priced iPhone 11 and Apple TV+ subscription. Investors are also looking ahead to key central bank meetings. 

The European Central Bank is expected to cut interest rates and detail plans for stimulus measures when it concludes its meeting on Thursday. Next week, investors expect the Federal Reserve to deliver a 25 basis-point rate cut. President Donald Trump on Wednesday renewed his attack on the Fed, calling for the “boneheads” at the central bank to cut interest rates to zero or lower. Trade was also on the agenda as China on Wednesday moved to exempt 16 types of US-exported goods from import tariffs ahead of the latest round of trade talks. The State Council’s tax regulator will next look to further expand exemptions on US goods and release follow-up lists when they are ready, it said.

The moves in US markets followed gains in Europe, where the Stoxx 600 rose 0.9 per cent and the Frankfurt-based Dax added 0.7 per cent, while London’s FTSE 100 climbed 1 per cent. Overnight in Asia, the Topix climbed 1.7 per cent, extending the Japanese benchmark’s positive streak into a fifth day. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 1.8 per cent, lifted by a strong showing from banks including HSBC and Standard Chartered and local developer stocks. In commodities markets, oil prices fell sharply after a report that Mr Trump discussed easing sanctions against Iran. Brent, the international oil marker, reversed its gains and fell 2.1 per cent to $61.08 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate, the US benchmark, was down 2.4 per cent to $56.03 a barrel. Sovereign bonds extended their sell-off, with the yield on the US 10-year up 4.2 basis points to 1.7437 per cent. The German Bund rose 0.5 basis points to minus 0.562 per cent. Yields move inversely to price.

US stocks flat amid tech slide, Treasury yields climb

Wall Street closed mostly flat on Tuesday with a decline in tech shares weighing on stocks, as investors await updates on stimulus measures from major central banks in the coming days. The S&P 500 closed fractionally higher, erasing earlier losses in the final minutes of trading, as the tech sector fell 0.5 per cent and energy shares jumped 1.3 per cent Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite ticked about three points lower. Robust gains for Boeing and Caterpillar helped the Dow Jones Industrial Average notch a 0.3 per cent rise.

The decline in tech comes as investors reacted to Apple’s annual hardware event on Tuesday, where the company revealed details of its latest iPhone models and its upcoming TV+ streaming video service. Apple was up 1.2 per cent, but shares in Netflix and Roku suffered in response to a cheaper-than-expected price point for TV+. Investors sold off US government debt, sending yields higher. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was up 11.8 basis points at 1.7402 per cent. Meanwhile, in Europe, the Stoxx 600 was up 0.1 per cent, the Xetra Dax was up 0.4 per cent, and the CAC 40 advanced 0.1 per cent. The European Central Bank is expected to cut interest rates and detail plans for stimulus measures when it concludes its meeting on Thursday. Next week, investors expect the Federal Reserve to deliver a 25 basis-point rate cut at its monetary policy meeting. In the UK, Boris Johnson lost his second attempt to hold a snap general election to break Britain’s Brexit impasse. While the prime minister has vowed not to delay Brexit beyond October 31, the anti-no-deal legislation agreed by parliament received royal assent from the Queen at her Balmoral castle retreat in Scotland on Monday. Sterling fluctuated and recently rose modestly to $1.2355, while the FTSE 100 close with a 0.4 per cent gain.

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