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LOSING MONEY WITH METAPHORS

Freud’s psychiatric conclusions have largely been discredited but he rightly maintains praise for understanding the central role of metaphor and narrative in human thought. Professor Cowen HERE, is only the latest to build on this theme although importantly, he concentrates on the negative, blinding aspects of the tendency. Nowhere is this more clear than in the “stories” that surround investments.

Choosing a metaphor presupposes a conclusion. For instance, there’s no way to hear “the Chinese economy is a bubble” without unconsciously associating the country’s outlook with fragility and inevitable disappearance of a soap bubble. If we describe China’s GDP as similar to a hot air balloon on the other hand, our subconscious will immediately become more suceptible to the argument that upcoming government stimulus will right the economic ship. (You see what I did there – the use of the word “ship” is insidious.)

Good metaphors are a double-edged sword and their ubiquity in stock pitches suggests investors remain on their guard, never accepting one outright no matter how successfully it seems to communicates the situation.

Every Trader Must Read Quote-Note From -Paul Tudor Jones

There are two unpleasant experiences that every trader will face in his lifetime at least once and most likely multiple times. First, there will come a day after a devastatingly brutal and agonizing stretch of losing trades that you’ll wonder if you will ever make a winning trade again. And second, there will come a point when you begin to ask yourself why it is you make money and if this is truly sustainable. That first experience tests an individual’s grit; does he have the stamina, courage, guts, and smarts to get up and engage the battle again? That second moment of enlightenment is the one that is actually scarier because it acknowledges a certain lack of control over anything. I think I was almost 38 years old when one day, in a moment of frightening enlightenment, I knew that I really did not know exactly how and why I had made all the money that I had over the prior 17 years. This threw my confidence for a jolt. It sent me down a path of self-discovery that today is still a work in progress.

-Paul Tudor Jones

Ten Bad Habits of Unprofitable Traders

1. They trade too much.

2. Unprofitable traders tend to be trend fighters, always wanting to try to call tops and bottoms.

3. Taking small profits quickly and letting losing trades run in the hopes of a bounce back, is a sure path to failure.

4. Wanting to be right more than wanting to make money will be a very expensive lesson.

5. The biggest key to profitability is to avoid big losses. (sizing / risk vs reward)

6. Unprofitable traders watch (Blue Channels ) for trading ideas.

7. Unprofitable traders want stock picks, while profitable traders want to develop trading plans and systems.

8. Unprofitable traders think trading is about being right.

9.  Unprofitable traders don’t do their homework because they think there is a quick and easy route to trading success.

10. Unprofitable traders #1 question is how much they can make if they are right, while the profitable traders #1 concern is how much they can lose if wrong.

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