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The Greatest Trading Loss

The Greatest Trading Loss

 Trading-loss

What is the greatest risk you face in trading?

 

Is it loss of money?

 

Certainly, that’s what most traders believe. I tend to disagree though. In my opinion we have something much greater at risk, that very few of us consider during the ‘learning phase’.

 

The American political journalist and author, Norman Cousins, is quoted as saying, ‘Death is not the greatest loss in life. The greatest loss is what dies inside us while we live.’

 

Along similar lines, I would argue that loss of capital is not the greatest loss in trading. The greatest loss is what we lose from within. (more…)

Strategies to prevent overtrading

1. Before each trade, clear your mind.

As I was flipping through channels, I came upon an interview with a surfer. He was saying that he knew a big surf would come and he would go underwater. The interviewer asked, how does he handle it? He said, it is simple. If I panic, I only have 3-5 seconds of air to breathe. If I stay calm, I have 45-60 seconds of air.

What does surfing have to do with trading? Well, especially when the markets are choppy, if you overtrade, you could lose all of your capital. However, if you take a moment and think about your trades, you can have much better results.

2. Have a trading plan and stick to it.

Plans are roadmaps. You want to know where you are headed. Think about it. If you are having a surgery, you want your surgeon to know why he is performing the surgery, where he should start, and what is the expected outcome.

In order to stick to your plan, think about your plans/rules as giving your word. Usually, we associate giving our word as a contract and we do not break it with others.

However, this rule does not apply to ourselves. So treat yourself as well as you would treat your best friend, and keep your word to yourself.

3. Look at each trade as an individual transaction.

Ask yourself:

If this was the first trade of the day, would I get into it?

What would be the initial size of this trade?

Do not look at an individual trade to make up for all of your losses.

4. Create a routine that works for you.

We are creatures of habit. As Aristotle says, “We are what we repeatedly do. Therefore, excellence is not an act, but a habit.”

5. Come from abundance.

There are a lot more opportunities. You will get what you expect. You might have heard of the following:

Imagine going to the ocean and taking water from the ocean. You can use a thimble or you can use a huge tub. You can do it once or as often as you want. It does not matter to the ocean, it is up to you and what you think you deserve.

6. Be patient – look for the right opportunities.

As the saying goes, there is a lot of fish in the sea.

7. Keep a daily journal.

To start with, keep track of:

Where you got into the trade

Where you exited the trade

Why you got into the trade

Why you got out of the trade

After a while, you’ll notice your own patterns.

8. Remember, this is a process. It takes time and experience. Rome was not built in one day.

9. Reward yourself.

I know this might sound counterintuitive. A lot of us wait to celebrate and reward ourselves till we do things perfectly. We think that if we start celebrating the intermediate steps, we’ll become complacent.

The truth is, to create a new habit, we need encouragement. Imagine a baby who is just starting to walk. S/he takes his/hers first step and then falls down. What do parents do? Do they yell and punish the child, or do they encourage and celebrate his/her action? If you said the latter, you are right.

Usually, encouragement works much better than punishment. The idea of celebration is to encourage ourselves.

Trading is simple, but not easy. The greatest difficulty is to accept the simple rules and follow them with discipline.

To summarize, the 9 steps to prevent overtrading are: (more…)

There are 3 Types of Traders

What kind of person you are “outside the charts” will help determine what kind of trader you will be “inside the charts”.

If you are of the first kind, “the wills”,  you will overcome all the obstacles on your way to consistent success.  You will accept, even embrace, uncertainty as the driving force behind the next big opportunity for gain.  You will lose gracefully and move on to the next trade, knowing that trading is a game of probabilities and possibilities; not certainties and absolutes.  You will leave money on the table, thankful for what you were able to gain; not bitter by what was left.  If you are of the first kind you will succeed. You will indeed.

If you are of the second kind, “the won’ts”, you will look for the always elusive easy road to riches.  You won’t believe in the effort required to become a disciplined trader, driven by solid habits repeated daily. You won’t apply the skill necessary for managing risk as that would require planning and preparation, something you just do not have time for.   You won’t develop your own well defined trading edge, depending instead upon others to do it for you. If you are of the second kind your opposition to anything other than what is easy will make it quite difficult to succeed when times get tough, and they will but you won’t.

If you are of the third kind, “the can’ts”,  you will blame everyone and everything for your failures.  You can’t succeed because you are too busy finding fault in any trading strategy that produces a loss.  You can’t succeed because anyone who does so has some special knowledge or gift that you obviously cannot possess.  You can’t succeed because the market is rigged.  If you are of the third kind…quit. You are a quitter with a quitter’s attitude.  Be in the majority. Be a can’t. It’s easy.

So, what kind of person (trader) are you?

Barron’s $1 Trillion Dollar Apple Cover


Barron’s cover showing Apple’s new “golden” headquarters generated a truckload of commentary, including a lot of previously debunked nonsense; Josh has a good round up here.
This is important stuff. Why? Because separating reality from bullshit is the key to making better informed and more intelligent investment decisions.
I will have a lot more on this later today, but just note that the HQ Indicator is spurious, the Magazine Cover Indicator is widely misunderstood, and there is no such thing as a Single Company Magazine Cover Indicator (SCMCI).
The SC
1981 – Present: Which of these 138 Apple/Steve Jobs Magazine Covers is the Sell Signal? 

Source: Kuo Design

Know your faults

knowyourfault
I recently sat down and made a list of all my trading faults. If you have a capacity for honest self assessment you will know what they are. I then created a goal for each of the things on my list which was its opposite.
So for me consistent journal writing and record keeping I knew was not that great. I have bursts of it, then either have no time or get bored – and I also think that accurate journal writing is fuel for the rocket of personal development so I MUST do that. I worked out that half the problem was not having a consistent format that I was happy with so I think I’ve fixed that.
There were a few other things, but that was the process. Create a list of your known issues and reverse them, and focus more on those goals than anything else.

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