Archives of “March 2, 2020” day
rssFrance says virus economic impact will be much bigger than the 0.1% forecast initially
Comments by French finance minister, Bruno Le Maire
- It is too early to provide a new growth forecast
- There will be concerted action by the government to support the economy
- Says G7 finance ministers will speak this week to coordinate efforts
The headline may not sound too pleasant but the initial 0.1% forecast was a bit unrealistic anyway. In any case, more talk of coordinated action by governments across the globe to bolster the economy is definitely a welcome signal for risk to start the week.
Two blasts heard in Iraq capital Baghdad – rumours its missiles hitting near US embassy green zone
Reports out of Baghdad – awaiting more info
4 missiles now reported (rumours at this stage)
Global central bank co-ordinated interest rate cut coming on Wednesday 4 March
A coordinated global interest rate cut by the top central banks will happen this Wednesday, March 4.
- So says economist for the U.S. bank lobby Bill Nelson, chief economist at the Bank Policy Institute
Nelson, formerly at the Federal Reserve (worked on the Fed’s responses to the 2007-2008 financial crisis):
- It will happen before the U.S. stock market opens, either 7 a.m. or 8 a.m. ET (1200 or 1300 GMT)
- It will be half a percentage point at least
- “The only way to get a positive market reaction is to deliver more than expected”
- will include “forward guidance”
Here is the link for more: Don’t keep your powder dry

‘Overnight’ futures opening for trade: Stock index futures, oil down. Gold, UST up.
Forex trade has been underway for hours, the futures folks now joining in. 😀
Move are as expected (led by FX earlier), summarised in the headline.
- Oil futures still showing demand expected to slump, CL contract at its lowest since Dec of 2018
- Brent lowest since July 2017
- UST implied yield is under 1% now (UST ten year futures)