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Trump on currency manipulation, analyst on USD intervention – “we should be prepared for anything”

You know you’re on a downhill slide when you blame “manipulation”, right?

😀
(To be fair, one of those named in the headline set a rate for its currency every day and says it’ll intervene if it moves too much! Manipulation? **** yeah!)
Bloomberg have followed up Trump’s comments with some analysts:
  • possibility the U.S. Treasury could intervene to weaken the dollar
  • anything is on the table, according to Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce ” …  we should be prepared for anything … Treasury hasn’t intervened to weaken the dollar for decades, but we wouldn’t be surprised if that changes potentially under Trump”

What has Christine Lagarde said about ECB policies?

Lagarde’s thoughts on ECB policies

Lagarde's thoughts on ECB policies
Bloomberg has a nice recap of all of Lagarde’s comments on ECB policies like QE and negative rates.
“Many of the right decisions have been taken. Most recently, initiatives by major central banks — the European Central Bank’s OMT bond-purchasing program, QE3 by the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan’s expanded Asset Purchase Program — are big policy signals in the right direction.” – Sept 24, 2012.
The entire collection is dovish. The risk is that those comments are part of her job at the IMF.
One thought that’s doing the rounds is that Lagarde’s real job at the ECB will be to push eurobonds forward and eventually the United States of Europe. That’s a compelling argument because closer ties is something she’s always pushed for and it would be part of the mandate implicitly coming from Macron and Merkel.
“Our goal should be clear: Restarting convergence and ensuring the fruits of economic growth are shared broadly across the EU. This will help restore faith in the European project.” – Feb 14, 2019.

Eurozone June final services PMI 53.6 vs 53.4 prelim

Latest data released by Markit – 3 July 2019

  • Final composite PMI 52.2 vs 52.1 prelim
Preliminary figures can be found here. The final print sees the composite reading recovers to its highest level since November but it doesn’t take away from the fact that factory/manufacturing activity remains weak overall. The services sector may be sparing the blushes of the euro area for now but economic conditions continue to point towards a softer outlook unless things on the other side start to rebound.
EUR/USD holds at 1.1281 currently after having dipped to a low of 1.1269 on the session earlier. Price is still nearly unchanged on the session, holding in a narrow range.
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