Archives of “Thing” tag

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Beyond Pattern Identification

  
Analysis, Education
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What does it take to be successful long-term? Two observations:
“The most successful market participants find a limited number of patterns that have favorable odds of success and repeat the trading of these often, with moderate risk placed in any trade. They win by acting as the house, not as the gambler. They win by taking consistent bets and harvesting returns from favorable odds. They don’t win by making the big bets and big scores. There is remarkably little drama– surprisingly little wizardry–among those who sustain success in financial markets. In the words of Lopez de Prado, their trading desks are more like laboratories than the platforms of gurus. Diversification and disciplined execution explain much of their returns.” – Brett Steenbarger

“Investing is kind of a game of connecting the dots. The nice thing about it is the longer you are in the business, as long as you are intellectually curious, your collection of data points of dots gets bigger and bigger. That is where someone like Warren is just incredible. He has had a passion for investing for well over 70 years. He started by the age of 10 or 12. He keeps building that library of data, the ability to recognize patterns in data. Being a successful investor you need to be hungry, intellectually curious, interested, and read all the time. You need a certain level of randomness in order to connect things that might give you an insight into where a business is going in five years that somebody else might not see.” – Ted Weschler

10 Life Lessons We Learn Too Late

  
Analysis, Education
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What Are the Lessons People Often Learn Too Late in Life?

1. Time passes much more quickly than you realize.

2. If you don’t take care of your body early then it won’t take care of you later. Your world becomes smaller each day as you lose mobility, continence and sight.

3. Sex and beauty may fade, but intimacy and friendship only grow.

4. People are far more important than any other thing in your life. No hobby, interest, book, work is going to be as important to you as the people you spend time with as you get older.

5. Money talks. It says “Goodbye.” If you don’t plan your finances for later in life, you’ll wish you had.

6. Any seeds you planted in the past, either good or bad, will begin to bear fruit and affect the quality of your life as you get older — for better or worse.

7. Jealousy is a wasted emotion. People you hate are going to succeed. People you like are going to sometimes do better than you did. Kids are going to be smarter and quicker than you are. Accept it with grace.

8. That big house you had to have becomes a bigger and bigger burden, even as the mortgage gets smaller. The cleaning, the maintenance, the stairs — all of it. Don’t let your possessions own you.

9. You will badly regret the things you didn’t do far more than the things you did that were “wrong” — the girl you didn’t kiss, the trip you didn’t take, the project you kept putting off, the time you could have helped someone. If you get the chance — do it. You may never get the chance again.

10. Every day you wake up is a victory.

Murphy's Laws

  
Analysis, Education
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  • If there is a possibility of several things going wrong, the one that will cause the most damage will be the one to go wrong.
  • If there is a worse time for something to go wrong, it will happen then.
  • If you perceive that there are four possible ways in which a procedure can go wrong, and circumvent these, then a fifth way, unprepared for, will promptly develop.
  • If everything seems to be going well, you have obviously overlooked something.
  • Nature always sides with the hidden flaw.
  • Whenever you set out to do something, something else must be done first.
  • Every solution breeds new problems.
  • Enough research will tend to support your theory.
  • When there is a very long road upon which there is a one-way bridge placed  at random, and there are only two cars on that road, it follows that: (1) the two cars are going in opposite directions, and (2) they will always meet at the bridge.

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