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Tokyo Olympics rescheduled to 23 July 2021

TBS reports on the matter

One year and four months feels like an eternity with the world in its current state. If there is no medical breakthrough, who is to say that we won’t be having this same conversation about postponing the Olympics in Q1 next year.

But if the world does return back to normal, one can tend to expect a heavier summer lull in trading especially with the Euro 2020 also postponed to next year.

White House virus stimulus plans said to still be at brainstorming stage

CNBC Washington correspondent, Eamon Javers, tweets

The tweet thread reads:

1. With markets in turmoil this morning, where are we on virus stimulus? I’ve spoken to two senior admin officials today who say the WH is working on various ideas. But it doesn’t seem to have gone much further than the brainstorming stage.

2. A senior administration official tells me this morning virus ideas were kicked around at the WH over the weekend. But he cautions that there’s nothing on paper and it is still a long way off. “Under pressure, will they want to say they have a plan? Yes. Do they? Not really.”

It is going to take a while before this even turns into anything concrete it seems. Trump’s election bid may be hanging in the balance here and for now, the best he can do is still to play the Fed card I reckon.
This is hardly confidence inspiring if you’re an investor and looking at the market now.

The coronavirus will be a pandemic, here are 8 things to do

Here is a piece from CNN on “Covid-19 will become a pandemic” and “we must do eight things “.

Some of the 8 seem pretty ****ing obvious, eg 4. Improve medical care and prevention of Covid-19.
Well, yeah, OK. Here is the link for the other 7.
#9 is to cut down on sugar, diabetes is gonna kill way more folks than this infection (my 2c)

White House is considering tax incentives for more Americans to buy stocks – report

CNBC report

This has a low-percentage chance of ever happening but between this and zero-fee trading, the stock market is going to turn into a proper bucket shop.
CNBC reports:
The proposal, one of many new tax cuts under consideration, would see a portion of household income treated as tax-free for the purposes of investing outside a traditional 401(k). Under one scenario, a household earning up to $200,000 could invest $10,000 on a tax-free basis, although officials noted these numbers are fluid.
These details are vague but this sounds more like a cut on capital gains.

Dip-buyers save US stocks from a deeper fall (for now)

Stocks slump on trade headlines

Stocks slump on trade headlines
The main headline today was a report saying US-China talks could extend into 2020 because the sides are deadlocked.
The reaction was quick and the S&P 500 fell as low as 3091. However the dip buyers stepped up to the plate again (are you surprised?) and the index finished at 3108, a loss of 12 points or 0.4%.
Other markets:
  • Nasdaq -0.5%
  • DJIA -0.4%
  • TSX -0.1%
After the close of the market, CNBC reported that the trade talks are ‘in trouble’. Somehow, the story hasn’t gotten any attention, perhaps because it was a live report with no text follow up. We’ll see if it gets some traction in the hour ahead.

China has offered for Trump to meet Xi in Macau as alternative to Chile

Fox News report

Edward Lawrence from Fox News reports that China has offered that the Trump travel to Macau to sign the Phase One trade deal, rather than the planned meet-up in Santiago, Chile.
Earlier today, Chile cancelled the APEC summit planned for November because of huge protests that have hit the country related to the high cost of living.
Markets wobbled on the initial announcement of the cancellation of the APEC summit but I don’t see it as any true obstacle to a Phase One deal. It’s a logistical problem but no reason to walk away from an agreement that — by all accounts — is very close to completion.

10 -Trend Following Commandments

1.    You shall back test and develop quantify robust trend trading systems that are profitable over the long term.
2.    You shall identify and follow the long term trend in the markets you trade, and have no guru that you bow down to.
3.    You shall not try to predict the future, that is a fool’s game, but follow the current price trend.
4.    You shall remember the stop loss to keep your capital safe from destruction; you shall know your exit level before your entry is taken.
5.    Follow your trend following system all the days that you are trading, so that through discipline you will be profitable.
6.    You shall not give up on your trading system because of a draw down.
7.    You shall not change a winning system because it has had a few losing trades.
8.    You shall trade with the principles that have proven to work for successful traders. Manage risk, go with the trend, and diversify so your days in the market will be long.
9.    You shall keep the faith in your trend following system even in range bound markets; a trend will begin anew eventually.
10.    You shall not covet fundamentalist’s valuations, Blue channels talking heads, newsletter predictions, Holy Grails, or the false claims of any of the black box systems.

Financial Documentaries

Below are a few documentaries that are a must watch if you haven’t already seen them. If you have, watch them again.

 Money For Nothing

The Untouchables 

The Go Go’s

Money, Power & Wall Street

China’s Real Estate Bubble

Inside Job 

Congress: Trading Stock on Inside Information  (more…)

Strengths and Weaknesses

We all have different personal strengths and weakness.  Many people focus on transforming a weakness into a strength. While that is admirable, the reality is that it’s not always possible. Although I agree with the basic idea of brain plasticity, and I whole-heartedly agree with the idea of always striving for self-improvement, I also know that as humans we have a certain degree of natural-born temperament and not everything about us can be changed.

Although we can’t always build or change every weakness into strength, the good news is that we can always leverage our strengths, if we know how. And that is mighty powerful. It’s so powerful that if you leverage the right strengths in the right way they can do an excellent job of not just counter-balancing your weaknesses, but can propel you so far ahead  that those weaknesses pale in comparison.

One of the most powerful things you can do for yourself is identifying your natural strengths and then work to see how you can build on them. (more…)

Personal Strengths and Weaknesses

We all have different personal strengths and weakness.  Many people focus on transforming a weakness into a strength. While that is admirable, the reality is that it’s not always possible. Although I agree with the basic idea of brain plasticity, and I whole-heartedly agree with the idea of always striving for self-improvement, I also know that as humans we have a certain degree of natural-born temperament and not everything about us can be changed.

Although we can’t always build or change every weakness into strength, the good news is that we can always leverage our strengths, if we know how. And that is mighty powerful. It’s so powerful that if you leverage the right strengths in the right way they can do an excellent job of not just counter-balancing your weaknesses, but can propel you so far ahead  that those weaknesses pale in comparison.

One of the most powerful things you can do for yourself is identifying your natural strengths and then work to see how you can build on them. (more…)

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