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Don't Try to Predict Your Own Behavior

“It’s easy to see, hard to foresee.” ~ Ben Franklin

How often have you accurately predicted your reaction to emotion-provoking events in your life?

When the stock market gets volatile as it has been in recent weeks, I am reminded of the irrelevence of risk tolerance questionnaires.  If you’ve ever sat down with an investment advisor or financial planner, you’ve likely seen or heard the questions that try to predict how you might react in various stock market scenarios. 

For example: 

“If your investment portfolio were to fall by 20% in the course of one year, how would you react?  Would you A) Do nothing, B) Wait a few months to make a decision, or C) Sell your stocks immediately?” (more…)

Psychological testing

The following questionnaire asks you to assess your emotional experience during your trading. Specifically, you’ll be rating how often you’ve experienced the following feelings over the past two weeks. Below, I’ll explain how to score the questionnaire; please complete the items before looking at the scoring. My next post will explain how to interpret your results.

Please use the following scale for your responses:

1 = rarely
2 = occasionally
3 = sometimes
4 = often
5 = most of the time

1) I feel happy when I’m trading __5___
2) I feel stressed when I’m trading __1___
3) I feel alert and energetic when I’m trading __5___
4) I feel discouraged when I’m trading __1___
5) I feel capable of succeeding at my trading __5___
6) I blame myself when my trading doesn’t work out __5___
7) I feel satisfied with my trading results __5___
8) I feel edgy and frustrated when I’m trading __1___
9) I feel in control of what happens in my trading __5___
10) I make impulsive decisions when I’m trading __1___ (more…)

Traders and Drinkers…Are We Different After All?

If you find this post offensive, relax. This post is not intended to offend, only to discuss more trading psychology. I pass no judgments on this topic because I have lived through this subject in different aspects myself. I came across an article that correlates destructive trading to destructive alcohol consumption. Take a quick look at this questionnaire that professionals use to determine the severity of alcohol abuse…

1) Have you found that your drinking is bringing unwanted, negative consequences?

2) Have you recently felt guilty over the way you have been drinking?

3) Do you find you need to drink more just to get the good feeling?

4) Do you find that your personality changes when you drink excessively?

5) Do you find it difficult to take a break from drinking, even when part of you knows that this would be best for you?

6) Do you find yourself drinking to feel good about yourself?

7) Do you sometimes feel that you cannot control how much you drink?

8) Do you find yourself getting angry when someone close to you questions your drinking?

9) Do you find yourself vowing to limit your drinking, only to slip back into overdrinking?

10) Do you find it difficult to not drink given the opportunity, even when the occasion is not really appropriate?

Like I mentioned, these were questions that are typically asked by a psychologist when confronting someone struggling with alcohol consumption. You can apply this to any substance abuse, addiction, or whatever struggles you cope with. The question is “What about trading?” Take a look at the modified questionnaire…

1) Have you found that your trading is bringing unwanted, negative consequences?

2) Have you recently felt guilty over the way you have been trading?

3) Do you find you need to trade more just to get the good feeling?

4) Do you find that your personality changes when you trade excessively?

5) Do you find it difficult to take a break from trading, even when part of you knows that this would be best for you?

6) Do you find yourself trading to feel good about yourself?

7) Do you sometimes feel that you cannot control how much you trade?

8) Do you find yourself getting angry when someone close to you questions your trading?

9) Do you find yourself vowing to limit your trading, only to slip back into overtrading?

10) Do you find it difficult to not trade given the opportunity, even when the occasion is not really appropriate? (more…)

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