Archives of “Pseudophysics” tag

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You are not your Trade

  
  Education
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Systems don’t need to be changed. The trick is for a trader to develop a system with which he is compatible. -Ed Seykota

Traders can make psychological mistakes when trading that can end a trading career very fast. Here are a few examples:

  • They take on more risk than they can deal with, stress takes over and they start making bad decisions.
  • They become married to a trade, they become stubborn and ignore their stop losses, wanting to be “right” they wait while losses mount.
  • Their egos take over their trading. They are more concerned about proving how smart or clever they are than making money. They begin to be more concerned with bragging about their winners than managing their losing trades. It becomes an ego trip that will not end well.
  • Their system does not match them, someone who likes fast paced action should not be a long term growth investor and someone who loves investing in growth stocks they believe in should not day trade.
  • A trader loses many times in a row so they change systems right before the big pay off. If you have a proven system trade it for the long term benefits.

Here are some solutions: (more…)

What Winners Do

  
  Education
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“A losing trader can do little to transform himself into a winning trader. A losing trader is not going to want to transform himself. That’s the kind of thing winning traders do.”

– Ed Seykota

It may sound trivial, or overly simple. And yet it is so important. Being a winner starts with a firm commitment to winning.

And that commitment starts with a relentless determination to do what it takes to win — day in and day out, leaving no stone unturned.

Are you a committed winner? What steps are you taking to make 2014 your biggest and best year ever?

Quotable Quotes from Ed Seykota

  
Analysis, Education
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I was reading a bit more about Ed Seykota after seeing The Whipsaw Song.

Ed Seykota became famous after appearing in Jack Schwager’s Wall Street Wizards book. He has an Electrical Engineering degree from MIT and was one of the pioneers of systems trading. He supposedly returned 250,000% over 16 years for one of the accounts he managed.

Below I have categorized some of the quotes that I have come across.

Ed Seykota’s Trading Style

  • My style is basically trend following, with some special pattern recognition and money management
    algorithms.
  • In order of importance to me are: (1) the long-term trend, (2) the current chart pattern, and (3) picking a good spot to buy or sell. Those are the three primary components of my trading. Way down in very distant fourth place are my fundamental ideas and, quite likely, on balance, they have cost me money.
  • I consider trend following to be a subset of charting. Charting is a little like surfing. You don’t have to know a
    lot about the physics of tides, resonance, and fluid dynamics in order to catch a good wave. You just have to be able to sense when it’s happening and then have the drive to act at the right time.
  • Common patterns transcend individual market behavior (my note: i.e. price patterns are similar across different markets).

Overall Rules

  • Trade with the long-term trend.
  • Cut your losses.
  • Let your profits ride.
  • Bet as much as you can handle and no more.

Buying on Breakouts (more…)

Managing the Mind to Stay in the Game

  
  Education
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  • “The creation of bad trades is easy:  trade your opinion, trade big, don’t cut your losses, just hold on and hope.  Bad trades fight trends; they put out a lot money with the risk of making little.  The entry and exit signals for bad trades are hope and fear, with the ego stepping in and refusing to honor the stop loss.”
  • “Dramatic and emotional trading experiences tend to be negative; pride is a great banana peel, as are hope, fear, and greed.  My biggest slipups occurred shortly after I got emotionally involved with positions.”  -Ed Seykota
  • A good trade is taken with complete confidence and follows your trading method; a bad trade is taken on an opinion.
  • A good trade is taken with a disciplined entry and position size; a bad trade is taken to win back losses the market owes you.
  • “Ninety-five percent of the trading errors you are likely to make–causing the money to just evaporate before you eyes–will stem from you attitudes about being wrong, losing money, missing out, and leaving money on the table.”  -Mark Douglas
    • A loss is not when I lose money; it’s when I don’t follow my plan
    • Turn down the heat when you are getting smoked (pare back position size, trade smaller in a drawdown)
  • A good trade is taken when your entry parameters line up; a bad trade is taken out of fear of missing a move
  • A good trade is taken to be profitable in the context of your trading plan; a bad trade is taken out of greed to make a lot of money quickly.
  • A good trade is taken according to your trading plan; a bad trade is taken to inflate the ego.
  • A good trade is taken without regret or internal conflict; a bad trade is taken when a trader is double-minded.

40 Great Quotes of Ed Seykota (Must Read )

  
  Education
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Ed Seykota, first featured in the book  Market Wizards has one of the best records of all time for any trader. Ed Seykota’s returns on capital compares to those achieved by Warren Buffett, George Soros or William J. O’Neil. He is among the trading gods with no doubt. What does he find important in trading success? Mr. Seykota has a keen focus on trader psychology above all other trading dynamics. Seykota’s website Trading Tribe spends more time advising it’s readers on proper trading  psychology than anything else. Most traders are not concerned with their own psychology and instead focus on entries and exits, with trading systems and making money, not their mind and emotions. This is generally their undoing. The longer you trade and the bigger your account grows the more I see the crucial importance of mindset in the trader’s success or failure. When a losing streak sets in the trader finds out what his underlying issues are and how he handles losing is the key to his long term success. The traders ego management determines his success as much as his trading system and risk management. An an ego can cause you to let losers run and bet far too much on any one trade. An unchecked ego can destroy your account. The market is a terrible place to learn about internal issues by losing money. Here are some quotes that changed how I thought about trading early on and have kept me on the right path to consistent profits. (more…)

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