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11 Steps for Successful Trading

  
  Education
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  1. You must have a Mission Statement.  What’s your real motivation behind your trading?
  2. You must spell out your trading/investing Goals and Objectives.  You cannot get from A to Bvery easily unless you truly know where B is.
  3.  You must spell out your Trading/Investing Beliefs and Market Beliefs.  Please remember this very important statement, “You cannot trade the market.  You can only trade your beliefs about the market.”  Therefore, it’s a very good idea to identify your beliefs about the market first. 
  4.  Spell out your exact Trading Strategies.  How do you go about analyzing the market and what are the key things you look at in your market analysis?  What trade set-ups do you use before entry? What are your timing signals for market entry?  What is your catastrophe stop loss?  Where and when will you take profits?  Will you use a trailing stop?  Will you scale into the market?  What exactly is your trade management system once you’re into the trade?    
  5.  What are your Position Sizing Strategies?  This is part of money management and is very important in reaching your trading goals and objectives in terms of profitability. 
  6. What are your typical Psychological Problems in following your trading plan?  What is your plan for psychological management for dealing with these problems?
  7. What are your Daily Trading Procedures?  What should you be doing on a daily basis, not only to become organized, but to become methodical in everything you do as a trader, on a day-to-day basis.
  8. Do you have an Education Plan to Help Improve Yourself on a continuing basis?  If not, you should have one.  Like anything else in life, you need to be continually working on yourself to become better and better.
  9. What is your Disaster Plan?  What can go wrong, and how will you deal with each item?
  10. What is your Planned Income and Budget for Trading Expenses?  This is pretty simple and straightforward; write down everything you can think of and try to be as realistic as possible.
  11.  How do you Prevent Trading Mistakes and Avoid Repeating Them… if they occur?  Really sit back and think about this and write down any and all mistakes that you might make during your trading.  Once you do that, come up with a solution to each potential mistake that you might make so you don’t allow that to happen.

Alexander Elder's 7 Rules for Traders

  
  Education
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1. Decide that you want to trade for the long haul. i.e decide that you want to trade 20 years from now.
2. Learn as much as you can. Read, and listen to the experts, but keep a healthy disbelief about everything.
3. Do not be greedy and rush to trade – take your time to learn. The market will be there with many good opportunities in the months and years ahead. 
4. Develop a method for analyzing the market, that is, if A happens, B is likely to happen. Markets have many dimensions – use several analytics methods to confirm trades.
5. Develop a money management plan. Your first goal should be of long term survival, second goal, a steady growth of capital and third goal, making high profits.
6. Be aware the trader is the weakest link in the system. Learn how to avoid losses and develop your method of cutting out impulsive trades.
7. Winners think, feel and act differently than loosers. You must look within yourself and strip away the illusions and change your old way of thinking, acting and being. Change is hard, but if you want to be a successful trader, you have to work on changing your personality.

Are You Happy?

  
  Education
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areuhappyTake this test to find out how happy you are. Using a scale of 0
(no relevance) to 4 (very relevant), rank each question as to how relevant it is to your trading life.

I often break my trading rules.
Each day, I do not look forward to trading.
Tension or stress hurts my trading performance.
I fear losses and lust after profits.
I do not appreciate my trading successes as much as I should.
It bothers me when my unrealistic trading expectations are unmet.
I trade for the wrong reasons which creates an emotional rollercoaster.
Trading has taken over my life.

Total your scores. The closer to 32 your score, the more unhappy you are as a trader.

 

Sun Tzu's Art of War to Trading

  
  Education
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Sun Tzu’s Art of War is a classic piece of work that is widely read and applied to many fields, due to it’s fundamental nature that is highly adaptable to many areas of our lives. In this post, I extracted parts of the work and applied to trading and in doing so, hope to introduce the important trading concepts to you. I have also group and categorize them for easy understanding.

To put it in the context of trading, I have rationalised the following terms:
– General = You, the trader
– Battle = Trading the market/making a trade
– Men, Soldiers = Your capital, dollars!

ON WINNING IN THE MARKET

“Now the general who wins a battle makes many calculations in his temple ere the battle is fought. The general who loses a battle makes but few calculations beforehand. Thus do many calculations lead to victory, and few calculations to defeat: how much more no calculation at all! It is by attention to this point that I can foresee who is likely to win or lose.”

Calculations are to be made prior to any trade. What is the risk-reward ratio? What is the stop loss level and the amount that I am willing to lose? What is the size of position to take? How much leverage can I take? If the price moves to $XXX, what action should I take? What is my price objective? What is the proabability of winning? These are just questions that need to be answered and determined BEFORE a trade is made. THE BATTLE/TRADE IS WON BEFORE IT IS FOUGHT/MADE.

“If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat.
If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.” (more…)

List of Mistakes by Traders

  
  Education
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Hesitation – fear of putting on a trade where price signals an entry because of what you think could possibly happen. Hey, it’s game of probability, and you’ll miss 100% of the shots you don’t take.

Chasing – running after the trade you hesitated on because of thinking about it too much, and now you think it will go forever without you. (It may go a long way without you, but don’t worry, another train will come along in a while.)

Overleveraging, averaging down, letting a loser run, trading without protective stops – all caused by the fact you are so certain price will do a certain thing that risk management is for stupid amateurs who get shaken out of “good” positions just when price is about to finally run their way.

Trading against a strong trend – you think price has run too high or too low because you have special indicators that tell you price is “overbought” or “oversold” and therefore has to reverse, even though price is showing you otherwise.

Taking profits too soon – you think no one ever went broke taking a profit and you think that normal price action retracements are reversals, so you grab tiny profits, while allowing losing trades to hit full stop, leaving you with a very poor reward:risk ratio.

10 Big Lies Traders always says…

  
  Education
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1. The losing position wasn’t my fault, the market
    moved against me.

2. The trade was right and the market wrong.

3. I just have bad luck.

4. Eventually the stock will go up (or down)… eventually.

5. Bigger size equals bigger profits.

6. No need to close the postion just yet.I can average down.

7. Because I made so much money on the last trade  I can take on more risk the next.

8. If the market is going down I can’t make  any money.

9. I need to trade a larger account in order to be a better trader.

10. I’ve had many winners in a row, so now I need  a big loser.

Trading Thought

  
  Education
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“We know that the random element in the market represents at least 40 to 60 percent activity. Therefore, it’s not logical to look at every tick or to think that every tick or every chart formation has meaning. They don’t. There are too many traders trying to look at the markets from too stringent an analytical viewpoint. Most of what happens in the markets is meaningless. Why try to interpret every little movement, every little reversal, every little tick? In trying to do too much, they’re actually paying too much attention to the market. You have to keep a distance from the market. Only then will you have the psychological resources to let your profits ride. You won’t be looking at every tick and interpreting it in a fearful way.”

Ed Seykota Interview

  
  Education
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Van Tharp:
Have you played around with any other significant ideas in terms of position sizing besides market’s money? If so, what are they?
If you could give me ten rules to consider with respect to position sizing what would they be?
Ed Seykota:
“Playing around” with “when market money becomes your money” seems to be an exercise in math-turbation.
I don’t know what you mean by playing around with ideas. I feel you either think things through or you don’t.
Ten rules for position sizing:
1. Bet high enough to make meaningful profits when you win.
2. Bet low enough so you are ok financially and psychologically when you lose.
3. If (1) and (2) don’t overlap, don’t trade.
4. Don’t go adding a bunch of rules that don’t work, just so you have ten rules.

Five Rules for Traders

  
  Education
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You can avoid the emotionalism, the second guessing, the wondering, the agonizing, if you have a sound trading plan (including price objectives, entry points, exit points, risk-reward ratios, stops, information about historical price levels, seasonal influences, government reports, prices of related markets, chart analysis, etc.) and follow it. Most traders don’t want to bother, they like to ‘wing it.’ Perhaps they think a plan might take the fun out of it for them. If you’re like that and trade futures for the fun of it, fine. If you’re trying to make money without a plan-forget it. Trading a sound, smart plan is the answer to cutting your losses short and letting your profits run.

Do not overstay a good market. If you do, you are bound to overstay a bad one also.

Take your lumps, just be sure they are little lumps. Very successful traders generally have more losing trades than winning trades. They don’t have any hang-ups about admitting they’re wrong, and have the ability to close out losing positions quickly.

Program your mind to accept many small losses. Program your mind to ‘sit still’ for a few large gains.

Recognize that fear, greed. ignorance, generosity, stupidity, impatience. self-delusion, etc., can cost you a lot more money than the market(s) going against you, and that there is no fundamental method to recognize these factors.

Why Traders Lose Money ?

  
  Education
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why13One of the most frustrating things a trader can experience is being dead on right about a trade, taking it, BUT.. still losing money! How can this be? This can happen in five different ways, each of the first four contain a lesson for better planning the fifth way to lose money in this list is just part of the game.

  1. You enter your trade correctly and it goes in your favor, BUT… you do not have the right exit strategy to capture your profits and they evaporate due to not having a trailing stop or waiting to long to exit to bank those profits. Sometimes winners even turn into big losers win not managed correctly. You have to have a plan to take profits while they are there.
  2. You enter the right trade BUT… at the wrong time, you either exit not allowing your trade enough time to work or you are stopped out but do not have a plan to get yourself back in the trade with the right set up. The right trade with the wrong timing pays nothing.
  3. You have the right entry and it goes in your favor BUT.. you pick the wrong stock option to express your trade. If you pick an option with a high implied volatility your trade has to overcome that vega priced into the option, after an expected earnings event that vega value will be priced out and you need the move in intrinsic value to make up that difference. With a far out in time stock option you need the price to move enough in the underlying in the time period of the option to make up the theta cost of time embedded in the option. It is crucial to understand the option pricing model to make the right option trades to express your time period and expected move. Sometimes options also do not have the liquidity in some stocks,or far out time frames, or far out of the money strikes. Getting in and out of an illiquid  option trade can be very expensive. (more…)
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