Unless you can watch your stock holding decline by 50% without becoming panic-stricken, you should not be in the stock market.” – Warren Buffett
A good starting point to gauge investment performance is to compare your results against a simple buy and hold portfolio.
While there are certainly ways to improve the performance of buy and hold, there are many more ways to make it much worse. You have to determine if the effort and actions you take with your portfolio strategy are worth it when compared to this simple (but not easy) alternative.
Investors generally fare much worse than buy and hold so this is an important decision for the average investor to consider.
When you hear about the average long-term gains of 9-10% in the stock market you must remember that those returns contain every single type of market environment. That means high valuations, low valuations, high interest rates, low interest rates, high inflation, low inflation, bubbles, recessions, booms, busts and everything in-between.
It’s an all-inclusive number that contains the good and the bad. (more…)