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AUD/USD to drop back to 0.64 by year end – global economy weakening, China retaliation

A brief summary from a late week Rabobank note on the Australian dollar:

  • investors are currently over-estimating the ability of the global economy to bounce back from the pandemic
Combined with:
  • any news that China could be targeting Australian exports in retaliation for the government’s political stance would also leave AUD vulnerable
Rabo’s view is thus:
  • we see risk of a drop in sentiment by the end of the year 
  • likely to drag AUD/USD lower
  • forecast AUD/USD at 0.64 on a six-month view
A brief summary from a late week Rabobank note on the Australian dollar:

Iran and China are working towards partnerships – would benefit by offsetting US pressures on each

A weekend report from the Wall Street Journal on mooted wide ranging partnership discussion by the two countries:

  • China would benefit from Iranian oil
  • Iran would get Chinese investment
Iran and China partnering up would deflect US pressures and influence on both.
WSJ goes on:
  • An initial draft of the Iran-China deal still requires Iranian parliamentary approval
  • under a 25-year partnership, China would import “sustainable” levels of Iranian oil, but offered no further details
Here is the link for more (may be gated).

iran china

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