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Key events and releases next week. Jackson Hole symposium the highlight

Feds Powell to speak at 10 AM ET on Friday August 27

Next week’s key events and releases will be highlighted by the Jackson Hole symposium which will take place from August 26 through August 28.  The main speech made by Fed chair Powell, will take place on August 27 at 10 AM ET/1400 GMT.
The market will be focused on any time one projections from the Fed chair for taper.  There have been a number of Fed officials who have expressed the desire to begin the taper sooner rather than later.  However, Feds Kaplan – one of the more hawkish Fed Presidents – dialed back a bit on concerns if the Delta variants starts to impact production.
Other key events include:
Monday, August 23:
  • Australia flash manufacturing and services PMI 7 PM ET/2300 GMT
  • France flash manufacturing and services PMI.  3:15 AM ET/715 GMT. Estimate 57.1 manufacturing. 56.2 services
  • German flash manufacturing and service PMI, 3:30 AM ET/730 GMT. Estimate 65.1 manufacturing and 61.0 services
  • UK flash manufacturing and services PMI. 4:30 AM ET/830 GMT.  Estimate 59.5 manufacturing and 59.0 services
  • US flash manufacturing and services PMI. 9:45 AM ET/1345 GMT.  Estimate 62.8 manufacturing and 59.1 services
Tuesday, August 24
  • New Zealand retail sales, 6:45 PM ET Monday/2245 GMT Monday. Estimate 2.0% versus 2.5% last month. Core retail sales 1.9% versus 3.2% last month
  • US new home sales, 10 AM ET/1400 GMT. Estimate 698K versus 676K last month
  • US Richard Fed manufacturing index. 10 AM ET/1400 GMT. Last month 27.0
Wednesday, August 25:
  • German Ifo business climate.  4 AM ET/800 GMT. Estimate 100.6 versus 100.8 last month
  • US durable goods orders. 8:30 AM ET/1230 GMT.  Estimate -0.2% versus +0.9% last month. Core durable goods +0.4% estimate versus +0.5% last month
  • Weekly crude oil inventories. 10:30 AM ET/1430 GMT. Crude oil has been down for seven consecutive days
Thursday, August 26.
  • US preliminary GDP 3Q. 8:30 AM ET/1230 GMT. Estimate 6.6% versus 6.5% for the first cut
  • US unemployment claims.  8:30 AM ET/1230 GMT.  Estimate 355K versus 348K last week
  • Start of Jackson Hole symposium
Friday, August 27
  • Australian retail sales, 9:30 PM ET Thursday/1330 GMT.  Estimate -2.0% versus -1.8% last month
  • US Core PCE price index MoM, 8:30 AM ET.  Estimate 0.3% versus 0.4% last month
  • Fed chair Powell speaks at Jackson Hole symposium.  10 AM ET/1400 GMT
  • US revised University of Michigan consumer sentiment.  Estimate 10 AM ET/1400 GMT.  Estimate 71.2 versus 70.2 preliminary
Saturday, August 28
  • Jackson Hole symposium

Key events and releases for next week’s trading

Fed Chair Powell speaks at Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on Friday

The key event next week her until Friday at 10 AM ET/1400 GMT, when Fed Chair Powell is scheduled to speak at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.  The title of his speech is “Challenges for Monetary Policy”.

Chairman Jerome Powell will speak at the Jackson Hole economic policy symposium

The meeting minutes from the last FOMC meeting will be released on Wednesday at 2 PM ET/1800 GMT.   The market is very sensitive to what the Fed might do at their next policy meeting in September. There is a 100% chance for a rate cut, with the market currently pricing in a 32% chance for 50 bps.
Other key events and releases for the week include:
Tuesday:
  • RBA monetary policy meeting minutes. 9:30 PM ET (Monday/0130 GMT
  • Canada manufacturing sales.  8:30 AM ET/1230 GMT
  • FOMC member Quarles speaks. 6 PM ET/2200 GMT
Wednesday
  • Canada CPI. 8:30 AM ET/1230 GMT
  • US FOMC meeting minutes.  2 PM ET/1800 GMT
Thursday
  • France flash manufacturing/service PMI.  3:15 AM ET/0715 GMT
  • German flash manufacturing/service PMI.  3:30 AM ET/0730 GMT
  • EU flash manufacturing/service PMI.  4 AM ET/0800 GMT
  • US flash manufacturing PMI. 9:45 AM ET/1345 GMT
  • Jackson Hole economic policy symposium begins. Day 1
Friday:
  • New Zealand retail sales.  6:45 PM ET/2245 GMT
  • Canada retail sales. 8:30 AM ET/1230 GMT
  • Fed chair Jerome Powell speak. 10 AM ET/1400 GMT
  • Jackson Hole economic policy symposium. Day 2
Saturday:
  • Jackson Hole economic policy symposium. Day 3
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