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Greece posts bumper $2.4bn budget surplus

Here’s something you don’t hear very often. Greece’s public finances are in very healthy shape.

Over the first four months of the year, the Greek treasury boasted a primary budget surplus of €2.4bn. This surplus, which does not include debt interest repayments, came in well above a forecast of just €566m, according to the Greek Ministry of Finance.

After more than 16 months in office, the Syriza government is managing to do exactly what its creditors demand – cut spending and raise taxes. The €2.4bn surplus was also better than the €2.1bn reached over the same period last year.

Athens’ coffers were boosted by better than expected tax revenues, which came in €325m above target at €14.11bn from January to April. Spending meanwhile came in at an impressive €2.28bn below target.

Squabbling over the state of Greece’s primary budget surplus has emerged as the latest sticking point between its international creditors. (more…)

S&P Lowers Italy Outlook To Negative

First Credit Agricole, now Italy….Maestro: the EUR take down orchestra is reaching the fortissimo cadenza. Next up: the glissando.

Overview

  • In our view Italy’s current growth prospects are weak, and the political commitment for productivity-enhancing reforms appears to be faltering.
  • Potential political gridlock could contribute to fiscal slippage.
  • As a result, we believe Italy’s prospects for reducing its general government debt have diminished.
  • We have therefore revised the rating outlook on Italy to negative, implying a one-in-three chance that the ratings could be lowered within the next 24 months.
  • We have also affirmed the ‘A+/A-1+’ sovereign credit ratings on Italy. (more…)

$60 Trillion Of World Debt In One Visualization

Today’s visualization breaks down $59.7 trillion of world debt by country, as well as highlighting each country’s debt-to-GDP ratio using colour. The data comes from the IMF and only covers external government debt.  

It excludes the debt of country’s citizens and businesses, as well as unfunded liabilities which are not yet technically incurred yet. All figures are based on USD. 

(more…)

What banks will be burned by Greece ?

GreeceflagAt end-Q3 foreigners held EUR216bn of Greek government debt (72.3% of the total market, 90.2% of GDP), having doubled their position since end-04. Given recent downgrades and another round of revisions to budget data from previous years, a sharp slowdown or even reversal of inflows from foreigners into the local debt market has become an increasing risk.”

Read the full story on FT Alphaville’s blog, by Tracy Alloway

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