Despair = Losing Money – Trading Better Do not despair look at your losses as part of doing business and as paying tuition fees to the markets. Disappointment = Expectations – Reality Enter trading with realistic expectations. You can realistically expect 20%-35% annual returns on capital with great trading after you have experience and have done the necessary homework. More than that is possible but you will have to be one of the very best to achieve greater returns than this. Regret = Disappointment in a loss+ Caused by lack of Discipline If you followed your trading plan and lose money because the market did not move in your direction so be it, but if you went off your plan and traded based on your feelings and opinions then you should feel regret and stop being undisciplined. Enjoying your Trading = Winning Trades – Fear of Ruin Trading is much more enjoyable when you are risking 1% of your capital in the hopes of making 3% on your capital with a zero chance of ruin. It is not enjoyable when you are putting a huge percentage of your capital on the line in each trade and are only a few bad trades away from your account going to zero. Trading Wisdom = Understanding what makes money + Years of successful trading To get good at trading you have to trade real money. Wisdom comes from putting real money on the line for years and proving to yourself that you can come out a winner in the long term. Faith in your system = Belief through back testing + Experience of winning with it for years Whether any individual trade is a winner or loser should not influence your faith in your system and trading method. You should trade in a way that each trade is just one trade out of the next 100. Much of emotional trading can be overcome when you do not have doubts about your method. When you hold an almost religious fervor over believing in your method, system, risk management, and your own discipline you will overcome many of the emotional problems that arise in the heat of action during a live market. |
Archives of “feelings” tag
rssThe Same Winning Principles
In life, as in trading, the right mindset is crucial for success. You must be confident in your decisions because they are based on cause and effect, not on emotions or opinion. Negative people who are unsure of themselves are not successful in any field. You need faith in yourself and your methods to be able to persevere and not give up before reaching success.
• You can risk too much and lose it all in your business, life, marriage, friendships or family. You have to measure the potential cost of every action. One affair can cost you your marriage, just like one big trade with too much risk can cost you all your capital.
• In business there are certain methods which bring in customers and turn a profit, and others which cause a business to turn away customers and lose money. Trading is similar: methods which turn a consistent and long-term profit are essential for success.
• Having unrealistic expectations in a marriage, job, or business will lead to unhappiness and failure just like it will in trading. You have to set realistic expectations so
you do not get discouraged easily and quit in any of these areas. You have to be satisfied that the results are worth your effort over the long term. You need to understand what to expect before you begin a marriage, a job, a business, or trading. (more…)
Psychological testing
The following questionnaire asks you to assess your emotional experience during your trading. Specifically, you’ll be rating how often you’ve experienced the following feelings over the past two weeks. Below, I’ll explain how to score the questionnaire; please complete the items before looking at the scoring. My next post will explain how to interpret your results.
Please use the following scale for your responses:
1 = rarely
2 = occasionally
3 = sometimes
4 = often
5 = most of the time
1) I feel happy when I’m trading __5___
2) I feel stressed when I’m trading __1___
3) I feel alert and energetic when I’m trading __5___
4) I feel discouraged when I’m trading __1___
5) I feel capable of succeeding at my trading __5___
6) I blame myself when my trading doesn’t work out __5___
7) I feel satisfied with my trading results __5___
8) I feel edgy and frustrated when I’m trading __1___
9) I feel in control of what happens in my trading __5___
10) I make impulsive decisions when I’m trading __1___ (more…)
The importance of emotion in trading.
Anxious: Am I prepared? Can I afford to lose what I am risking? Am I breaking my rules? Did I drink too much caffeine?
Anger: Have I not moved from the last trade? Am I tired? Is there conflict in my personal life?
Happiness: Are psychological gains more important than monetary gain? Am I overconfident?
Indifference: Do I care? Is something more important?
It is natural to feel emotion but in an appropriate and proportional way.
Anxious:
To this day, the first trade always produces a little anxiety. That little tingle in your stomach and shallow breathing. The same is true when I a trade I have been waiting for sets up. Above that, I know there is something wrong.
Anger and Happiness:
I am angry after a negative outcome and happy after a positive outcome but in order to adapt more quickly I have to remove emotion from the outcome as soon as possible. It is more important to focus on what happened and less how I feel about it. Prolonged feelings of anger or happiness causes risk blindness and impedes my learning. Misjudging risk will prevent me from taking a trade or taking too much risk. (more…)
Revolutionary Trading Psychology
Everyone thinks the market is a game of numbers. We use complex models, umpteen oscillators or retracement calculations and even a fundamental analysis of supply and demand – all based in numbers and about numbers.
But in reality, the numbers of the market are but an illusion.
Markets are only the vacillating prices that other human beings, using the same mathematically based tools, are willing to pay. For example, what can be expensive one day can be very cheap the next if a trend has ensued.
It is only a matter of perspective. And perspective is a matter of the judgments you make.
Judgments on the other hand will be influenced by both impulsive feelings and by intuitive feelings – or pattern recognition. The trick is to have all the data on the table so you can tell the difference.
In order to do this, us market participants need to do a couple of things – give up the notion of a iron-clad trading plan based purely on historical probabilities and replace it with a trading plan based on historical probabilities (yes you read that right) AND a systematic way to leverage your judgment under uncertainty. This way you can make a decision about factors that may now be in play for the future probabilities. I mean who thought the VIX could stay over 30 for 6 months? … I am just askin.
Now in order to do this successfully, you have got to learn to optimize your judgments – which means spending more time focused on deciphering and understanding them than you spend on deciphering and understanding the charts.
This is revolutionary trading psychology – and it works.
Common Advice is Ineffective
“Plan the trade, and trade the plan!” is perhaps the most common advice given to traders. As far as advice goes, it’s well meaning, but unfortunately falls well short of addressing the problem most traders actually face.
Looking at the advice, it has two parts. The first part says you need a plan. No argument there. But the second part, about executing the plan, that’s where the problems appear. Why?
The two parts to the advice ‘plan the trade’ and the ‘trade the plan’ require two very different skill sets. Without understanding the different skills required, it’s highly likely that you will continue to regularly veer from your plan. (more…)
Gaining The Edge!
Knowing how to experience feelings like enthusiasm, greed, euphoria, fear and despair might give you a trading edge
Keys to Trader Self-Talk
“And the talk slid north, and the talk slid south . . .” Rudyard Kipling
What do you say to yourself when you trade? Now some of you may be thinking, “Talk to myself? I don’t talk to myself.” But of course you do. You’re talking to yourself when you think that. That’s how we think. We think in words (and sounds, pictures and feelings). But most precisely we think in words; therefore, we talk to ourselves.
When you’re considering entering a market, what are you saying to yourself? Are you saying, “What if I lose? “What if I’m wrong?” If you hesitate before entering and have trouble pulling the trigger, I guarantee you’re saying something similar to that.
Since good trading is very much about controlling the risk, often the first consideration is where to put our stops. You might first ask yourself,”What is my risk?” This is better than asking, “What if I lose?” However, it still takes your thoughts to risk and loss rather than reward and profit. If you’re hesitating when you should be entering the market, you could change your comment to something like, “How much can I make?”or, “What if this trade is a big winner?”
Of course, not everybody hesitates to enter a trade: some jump the gun and some overtrade. These people are anticipating large profits. If you hear yourself saying, “This is going to be a big move!” or “This is going to the moon!”, you’ll need to activate caution. Remember, gamblers often think they’ve got a sure thing. When you hear yourself promoting a trade, it would be wise to ask yourself, “What is my risk?” and “What would have to happen to know that I’m wrong or no longer right?” Our self-talk reveals our biases. If you’re talking up your trade or talking it down, you have a good clue that you’ve lost your neutrality. In such an instance it would be advisable to ask yourself, “What is the market showing me now? What does the market want? What do I know for certain? Have my rules for entry been met?”
If you hear yourself saying, “I don’t believe this!” Look out. You’re warning yourself that you’re not taking the market action at its face value; an extremely dangerous thing to do. Remember price is your predominant reality when you trade.
Some traders demean themselves when they trade. They speak to themselves in negative ways they would never let another person talk to them. They call themselves stupid idiots, failures, fools, losers, and so forth. While their intention in so speaking might be to motivate themselves to better behavior, it seldom does. Self-denigration rarely produces good results. Have you ever noticed that the more you scold yourself, the more your behavior reproduces itself? The strangest secret is that we become what we say. I tell my clients that I won’t allow anybody to speak unkindly to my clients, including themselves.
Much better to encourage yourself. “You can do better than this.” “You don’t need to do that again.” “I’ll do better tomorrow.”
Start writing down the words you say at critical junctures in your trading. You’ll begin to understand where your thinking is helpful and harmful, and you’ll be able to change the direction of your thoughts by shifting your words. There’s an article on my website discussing the critical importance of questions. Check it out. What if you could learn to direct your words and thoughts in such a way that you truly support your success in trading?
3 Alexander Elder’s Words of Wisdom
You can be free. You can live and work anywhere in the world. You can be independent from routine and not answer to anybody. This is the life of a successful trader. Many aspire to this but few succeed. An amateur looks at a quote screen and sees millions of dollars sparkle in front of his face. He reaches for the money – and loses. He reaches again – and loses more. Traders lose because the game is hard, or out of ignorance, or lack of discipline or because of both. – ALEXANDER ELDER
Every winner needs to master three essential components of trading; a sound individual psychology, a logical trading system and good money management. These essentials are like three legs of a stool – remove one and the stool will fall, together with the person who sits on it. Losers try to build a stool with only one leg, or two at the most. They usually focus exclusively on trading systems. Your trades must be based on clearly defined rules. You have to analyze your feelings as you trade, to make sure that your decisions are intellectually sound. You have to structure your money management so that no string of losses can kick you out of the game. – ALEXANDER ELDER
Markets offer unlimited opportunities for self-sabotage, as well as for self-fulfillment. Acting out your internal conflicts in the marketplace is an expensive proposition. Traders who are not at peace with themselves often try to fulfill their contradictory wishes in their market. If you do not know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere you never wanted to be. You can succeed in trading only if you can handle it as a serious intellectual pursuit. Emotional trading is lethal. To help ensure success, practice defensive money management. A good trader watches his or her capital as successfully as a professional scuba-diver watches his or her air supply. – ALEXANDER ELDER
Three Essential Components Of Trading
These essentials are three legs of a stool – remove one and the stool will fall together with the person who sits on it.
Losers try to build a stool with only one leg, or two at the most. They usually focus exclusively on trading systems.
Your trade must be based on clearly defined rules.
You have to analyze your feelings as you trade, to make sure that your decisions are intellectually sound.
You have to structure your money management so that no string of losses can kick you out of the game.
Every winner needs three essential components of trading: a sound individual psychology, a logical trading system and a good money management.