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Trump counters Kudlow: “I didn’t say I’m not going to do something” on dollar

Trump comments late on Friday

Trump comments late on Friday
Trump made news late in the day on Friday. Speaking to reporters, he walked back comments from economic adviser Larry Kudlow, who earlier in the day said the White House wouldn’t intervene in the dollar.
“I didn’t say I’m not going to do something,” he told reporters.
It was earlier reported that Peter Navarro gave him options on devaluing the dollar but Trump ruled them out. They also weighed proposals to publicly talk down the currency.
His public reaction is typical Trump, he rarely likes to show his hand, even in a matter that’s decided. Bloomberg sources said on Fr
He followed up that comment with several other notable quips and tweets:
  • BBG, citing two sources, said lower rates from the Fed might do the job and help avoid intervention
  • “I could do [currency intervention] in two seconds if I wanted to” he said
  • “The dollar is very strong, the country’s very strong, the dollar — it’s a beautiful thing in one way, but it makes it harder to compete.”
  • “The fed acted too soon, and I turned out to be right. They acted too soon and too violently.”
  • “I think that China will probably say, let’s wait, it’s 14, 15 months until the election”
  • “So, I don’t know if they’re going to make a deal. Maybe they will, maybe they won’t, I don’t care, because we’re taking in tens of billions of dollars worth of tariffs.”
  • “When I win, like almost immediately, they’re all going to sign deals”
  • He was asked if he will tariff French wine, after Macron levied a tax on Internet giants. “I might, I might,” he said.”I’ve always liked American wines better than French wines, even though I don’t drink wine. I just like the way they look, OK? But American wines are great.”

Lots to digest there.

Trump on Iran says he is going to sit back and wait

Trump on Iran

  • Trump says he is going to sit back and wait, we’ll see what happens
  • He says it’s getting harder for him to make a deal with Iran, says it could go either way very easily
Obviously they’re not in a rush to war but that doesn’t mean they’re not putting some pieces in place. You don’t pre-announce any attack.
Separately:
  • Working on trade deals with Chinese President Xi

Chinese companies looking to buy U.S. farm products -Xinhua

Some Chinese companies are seeking new purchases of U.S. agricultural products, China’s official Xinhua News Agency said on Sunday, citing authorities, as Beijing and Washington look for ways to end a protracted trade war.

U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed at last month’s G-20 summit in Osaka to restart trade talks that stalled in May.

Trump said at the time he would not impose new tariffs and U.S. officials said China agreed to make agricultural purchases. But Trump said on July 11 that China was not living up to promises to buy U.S. farm goods.

Chinese businesses have made inquiries with U.S. exporters to buy crops and agricultural products and applied for the lifting of tariffs, Xinhua said, citing Chinese authorities. China’s Customs Tariff Commission will arrange for experts to appraise the Chinese companies’ tariff exclusion applications, Xinhua said.

“Relevant Chinese departments expressed hope that the United States would meet China halfway, and earnestly implement the United States’ relevant promises,” the news agency said, without elaborating.

The world’s two largest economies have been embroiled in a tariff battle since July 2018, as the United States presses China to address what it sees as decades of unfair and illegal trading practices. (more…)

US-China trade negotiations at ‘standstill’ as US weighs Huawei

Headlines crossing

Progress has stalled as Trump’s administration tries to figure out how to meet the agreement to allow some US firms to sell products to Huawei.
This thing sounds like it’s going to fall apart before it even gets going. Stocks finished on the lows.

Trump voices displeasure over Iran breaching uranium stockpile limit

More sanctions to follow?

US Iran

Trump tweets:

Iran was violating the 150 Billion Dollar (plus 1.8 Billion Dollar in CASH) Nuclear Deal with the United States, and others who paid NOTHING, long before I became President – and they have now breached their stockpile limit. Not good!

This comes after the International Atomic Energy Agency confirmed overnight that Iran has now exceeded its supposedly agreed stockpile limit of low-enriched uranium, which breaches one of the key points in the 2015 nuclear deal.
Even so, reports say that Iran is still a long way off from being able to produce a bomb but when you see Trump tweet something like this, it’s never too long before something happens again amid escalating tensions between the two countries.

Trump – Iran is playing with fire. China trade talks are already underway.

President Trump with some remarks crossing

  • Iran is playing with fire.
  • China trade talks are already underway over phone.
  • expects President Xi will move on some of the issues that are in dispute
(pro tip – Xi will not)
President Trump with some remarks crossing

Trump, China & the Fed

I think it’s entirely possible we leave Osaka with a mild escalation -something like expanded 10% tariffs – enough to scare both China & the Fed into more stimulus & a 50bps cut. Then walk it back in 2020 with a juiced economy. Same playbook as Iran/SA

Unlikely US would agree to lift restrictions on Huawei – US official

US official cited by Reuters

  • Trump’s decision on whether to impose more tariffs on Chinese goods depends on meeting with Xi, nothing agreed ahead of time
  • Unlikely US would agree to lift restrictions on Huawei
From China’s perspective, it would make sense that Xi wouldn’t agree to meet without assurances that more sanctions wouldn’t be applied. If Trump walks out of the meeting and hits the US with a fresh round, it would reflect poorly on the leader. In general, these things are always agreed on ahead of time, with room for tweaks.

Daiwa to launch 'Trump-related' mutual fund

Daiwa Asset Management is set to start operating a mutual fund that invests in stocks related to U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s infrastructure investment policy. Daiwa will launch the product on Tuesday.

The open-end mutual fund — the first of its kind in Japan since Trump’s election victory in November 2016 — is likely to be made available to retail investors by the end of the month.

 The U.S. infrastructure builder equity fund, which invests in U.S. companies, will quantify how much each stock will benefit from Trump’s infrastructure policy, based on criteria such as sales ratio in the U.S. and the degree of obsolescence of the target infrastructure. The details of the portfolio will be determined by how much share prices are undervalued and how competitive the companies are.

The portfolio, comprising 30-50 companies — mostly in the construction, transport and materials sectors — will be adjusted as appropriate as Trump’s policy takes form.

Trump has pledged to spend $1 trillion to overhaul the country’s aging infrastructure over the next decade.

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