rss

Tracking Global Corporate Tax Avoidance

40% of multinational profits are shifted to tax havens each year


Source: Missing Profits

 

Globally, about $650 billion in profits are shifted to such tax havens by multinational from all countries. This fascinating research project from the University of California at Berkeley and the University of Copenhagen is an attempt to track all of those tax avoiding dollars, to see which countries attract and lose profits in this shell game.

Missing Profits:

The loss of profit is the highest for the (non-haven) European Union countries. U.S. multinationals shift comparatively more profits (about 60% of their foreign profits) than multinationals from other countries (40% for the world on average). The shareholders of U.S. multinationals thus appear to be the main winners from global profit shifting. Moreover, the governments of tax havens derive sizable benefits from this phenomenon: by taxing the large amount of paper profits they attract at low rates (less than 5%), they are able to generate more tax revenue, as a fraction of their national income, than the United States and non-haven European countries that have much higher tax rates.

Goldman Sachs says the yen is undervalued – downside risk to 103 target

Via a Goldman Sachs note, says yen remains cheap, unlike many other safe havens

  • positive news out of the US-China meeting could weigh on yen in the near term
  • but its role as a portfolio hedge bodes will continue
Downside risks to GS’ 12-month USD/JPY target (at 103)
  • proprietary models set 95 as fair value
  • bullish yen view supported by BOJ having limited monetary policy space to ease further
  • net outflows from Japan have shifted to “cross-border direct investment from portfolio flows, and outbound foreign direct investment could pull back on global trade uncertainty”
More:
  • trade disputes
  • unsettled global markets
may lead to a choppy USD
Go to top