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Let profits ride until price action dictates otherwise.

  
  Education
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jessePerhaps the most famous quote attributed to Livermore is, “It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It always was my sitting.” Traders are wired to be “doing something,” and this can cause churning, over-trading, getting out of positions too soon, and making your broker the wealthy one. The famous Turtle Traders were trend traders who made few trades and had learned the importance of staying in a winning trade.

For today’s traders, there are multiple variations to keep you in a trade. It’s not so important which method you implement, but that you do recognize when to hold a winner for maximum potential, and when a trend has changed character and it’s time to ring the register.

One method that satisfies the desire for profit and subdues the fear of a losing trade is to take one half of your profit off at a predetermined level, put a stop at breakeven on the rest, and let it play out without micromanaging the position. Even day and swing traders will benefit from letting a partial position play out when all indicators hint that more upside might be in the cards. Always remember this rule is letting a profitable position run, but it’s not a license to bury one’s head on a losing position

Day Trading & Poker

  
  Education
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PokerandtradingI learned how to play poker at a very young age.  You don’t just play every hand and stay through every card, because if you do, you will have a much higher probability of losing. You should play the good hands, and drop out of the poor hands, forfeiting the ante. When more of the cards are on the table and you have a very strong hand — in other words, when you feel the percentages are skewed in your favor — you raise and play that hand to the hilt.If you apply the same principles of poker strategy to trading, it increases your odds of winning significantly.
I have always tried to keep the concept of patience in mind by waiting for the right trade, just like you wait for the percentage hand in poker. If a trade doesn’t look right, you get out and take a small loss; it’s precisely equivalent to forfeiting the ante by dropping out of a poor hand in poker. On the other hand, when the percentages seem to be strongly in your favor, you should be aggressive and really try to leverage the trade similar to the way you raise on the good hands in poker.

Process Versus Outcome in Trading

  
  Education
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248823-2163-0This concept of process versus outcome was first introduced to me when I read the book, “More Than You Know”, by Michael Mauboussin. It was also discussed in the books written by the brilliant authors Michael Covel and Mark Douglas.
The best way to explain the concept is using the following examples, which involves the game black jack (the only card game I know).
1) Good Process/Good Outcome
The cards you are dealt add up to 12. You have the choice to stay or hit. You chose to hit and receive a 9-blackjack.
The equivalent scenario, in my view, in the stock market is that you see a stock in a downtrend, so, following your rules, you short it. The stock ends up falling another 40% before turning around.
2) Good Process/Bad Outcome
The cards you are dealt add up to 12. You have the choice to stay or hit. You chose to hit and you get a 10 -bust.
In the stock market this is comparable to buying a stock that is in an uptrend, (more…)

Objectivity and The Fundamental Theorem of Poker

  
  Education
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 poker-

From David Sklansky’s The Theory of Poker:

Every time you play a hand differently from the way you would have played it if you could see all your opponents’ cards, you lose; and every time you play your hand the same way you would have played it if you could see their cards, they lose.

An analogy in trading can be made concerning objectivity while holding a position:

Every time you execute a trade that you would not have executed had you been flat, you lose; additionally, every time you refrain from executing a trade that you would have executed had you been flat, you lose. (more…)

Common Characteristics between Successful Gamblers and Successful Speculators

  
Education, Video
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Just Listen :

On a warm summer’s evenin’ on a train bound for nowhere,
I met up with the gambler; we were both too tired to sleep.
So we took turns a starin’ out the window at the darkness
‘Til boredom overtook us, and he began to speak.
He said, “Son, I’ve made my life out of readin’ people’s faces,
And knowin’ what their cards were by the way they held their eyes.
So if you don’t mind my sayin’, I can see you’re out of aces.
For a taste of your whiskey I’ll give you some advice.” (more…)

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