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UK news – millions of low income households to receive 900GBP cost of living payment

The UK Department For Work And Pensions with the announcement that

  • millions of low-income households to get new cost of living payments from Spring 2023
  • £900 cost of living payment
  • direct to bank accounts
  • three payments over FY2023

There may be questions raised in financial markets about the impact on inflation of what is, in effect, a fiscal boost. But folks gotta eat and warm their homes.

Sunak's budget

Edwin LeFevre, The Reminiscences of a Stock Operator:

Buy Reminiscences of a Stock Operator Book Online at Low Prices in India |  Reminiscences of a Stock Operator Reviews & Ratings - Amazon.inThe speculator’s chief enemies are always boring from within. It is inseparable from human nature to hope and to fear. In speculation when the market goes against you you hope that every day will be the last day – and you lose more than you should had you not listened to hope to the same ally that is so potent a success-bringer to empire builders and pioneers, big and little. And when the market goes your way you become fearful that the next day will take away your profit, and you get out – too soon. Fear keeps you from making as much money as you ought to. The successful trader has to fight these two deep-seated instincts. He has to reverse what you might call his natural impulses. Instead of hoping he must fear; instead of fearing he must hope. He must fear that his loss may develop into a much bigger loss, and hope that his profit may become a big profit. It is absolutely wrong to gamble in stocks the way the average man does.

I came out in fine shape. The newspapers said that Larry Livingston, the Boy Plunger, had made several millions. Well, I was worth over one million after the close of business that day. But my biggest winnings were not in dollars but in the intangibles: I had been right, I had looked ahead and followed a clear cut plan. I had learned what a man must do in order to make big money; I was permanently out of the gambler class; I had at least learned to trade intelligently in a big way. It was a day of days for me. (more…)

Thinking in Probabilities

  • Successful traders put themselves in alignment with the probabilities.
  • If you know a trade has a probability to make money, you’ll go ahead and put it on in a timely manner. Why would you not? It’s probably going to make money.
  • If you know a trade is only probable, you’ll put in a protective stop loss. Since it’s only probable, you’re mindful of other possibilities. It could  be a losing trade. Therefore, you protect yourself.

Taking Controlled Risk

  • Probability is the mathematical center of wise risk. Successful traders risk to win. For the risk taker, this uncertainty between small loss or large profit is where the fun is.
  • If you tend to over trade or over risk, you need to pull in your frame of safety. You need to establish trading guidelines that will protect you. You need to be alert to your propensity to over risk and step back every time you catch yourself over extending.
  • If you tend to avoid risk, you need to expand your frame of safety. You need to slowly add risk to your trading so that you become emotionally inoculated. Decrease your trading size and / or change to a trading vehicle that is less volatile. When this is comfortable, slowly increase size and volatility.
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