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Key events and releases for the week starting August 16

  
  Analysis

US retail sales, Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision, FOMC meeting minutes are some of the highlights

Next week has some key central bank events and economic releases. Fed chair Powell speaks for the first time since the better than expected jobs report and inflation the date of this week. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to raise rates by 25 basis points. The US retail sales will be released.

Below are some of the key releases and events for the week:
Monday, August 16
  • Japan preliminary GDP QoQ, 10 PM ET/0230 GMT, 0.1% versus -1% last quarter
  • China retail sales YoY.  10 PM ET/0230 GMT.  Estimate 10.9% versus 12.1%
  • China industrial production YoY,10 PM ET/0230 GMT.  Estimate 7.9% versus 8.3%
  • US Empire State manufacturing index, 8:30 AM ET/1230 GMT. Estimate 28.9 versus 43.0 last month
Tuesday, August 17
  • Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy meeting minutes, 9:30 PM ET/0130 GMT
  • EU Flash GDP, 5 AM ET/0900 GMT, estimate 2.0%
  • US retail sales, 8:30 AM ET/1230 GMT.  Estimate -0.2% vs 0.6% last month.  Core retail sales 0.2% versus 1.3% last month
  • US industrial production, 9:15 AM ET/1315 GMT.  Est 0.5% versus 0.4%.  Capacity utilization 75.7% est vs 75.4% last month
  • NAHB housing market index.  10 AM ET/1400 GMT. Estimate 80 versus 80 last month
  • Fed Chair Powell speaks at a online town hall event.  1:30 PM ET/1730 GMT.

Wednesday, August 18

  • Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate announcement, 10 PM ET/0200 GMT. Estimate 0.5% versus 0.25% last meeting
  • RBNZ press conference 11 PM ET/0300 GMT
  • UK CPI YoY, 2 AM ET/0600 GMT.  Estimate 2.3% versus 2.5%. Core estimate 2.1% versus 2.3%.
  • Canada CPI MoM. 8:30 AM ET/1230 GMT.  Last 10.3%.  Core CPI MoM 0.3% last month
  • US building permits/housing starts/  8:30 AM ET/1230 GMT.  Building permits estimate 1.61M versus 1.59M last month.  Housing starts 1.60M versus 1.64M last month
  • FOMC meeting minutes. 2 PM ET/1800 GMT

Thursday, August 19

  • Australia employment change. 9:30 PM ET/0130 GMT.  Estimate -46.0K vs 29.1K last month.  Unemployment rate 5.0% versus 4.9% last month
  • US initial jobless claims.  Estimate 380K vs 375K last week
Friday, August 20
  • UK retail sales, 2 AM ET/0600 GMT.  Estimate 0.5% versus 0.5% last month.
  • Canada  Core retail sales, 8:30 AM ET/1230 GMT.  Estimate 4.9% versus -2.0% last month. Headline retail sales, estimate 5.0% versus -2.1% last month

S&P/Dow close at record levels (but only marginally higher). Nasdaq higher.

  
Analysis, US Market

NASDAQ closes lower for the week

The S&P and Dow held on for a record closes but just barely.
  • The S&P closed at record day for the fourth consecutive day.
  • The NASDAQ moved higher in the last minute of trading and it’s second gain in a row.
  • The Russell 2000 fell close to 1%.
  • S&P posted its 48th record close for the year.
  • Dow posted its 34th record close for the year.
The final numbers are showing:
  • Dow rose 15.53 points or 0.04% at 35515.38
  • S&P rose 7.98 points or 0.18% at 4468.82
  • Nasdaq rose 6.64 points or 0.04% at 14822.90
  • Russell 2000-20.96 points or -0.93% at 2223.11
Positive sectors included:
  • Consumer staples, +0.81%
  • Real estate, +0.69%.
  • Healthcare, +0.6%
  • Utilities, +0.57%
Sector laggards today included:
  • Energy, -1.26%.
  • Financials, -0.72%.
  • Industrials, -0.32%.
  • Discretionary, -0.29%
For the week, the NASDAQ index closed marginally lower. The Dow led the way to the upside:
  • Dow, +0.86%
  • S&P, +0.73%
  • NASDAQ -0.09%
  • Russell 2000, -1.07%. The Russell 2000 snapped a three week win streak
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