Trailing P/E ratio: It can guide you but it can’t predict the future

What is the trailing P/E ratio

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Let us talk about the trailing P/E ratio.

Have you encountered the term price-to-earnings? It is a significant factor when it comes to knowing the value of stocks and companies. It is also known as the P/E ratio, and it may be forward or trailing. A forward P/E ratio maximizes the use of projected future earnings for the calculation. On the other hand, a trailing P/E ratio is the valuation multiple that focuses on the past year’s earnings.

Tell me more about the trailing P/E ratio.

When we read articles about companies and stocks, we often encounter the term P/E ratio. But do you know what it means? It means the price-to-earnings ratio, and it is usually the trailing one unless otherwise stated that it’s the forward. We calculate it by taking the share price and dividing it by the EPS of the most recent fiscal year. We see that we need the EPS of the most recent fiscal year in the formula. We can access it from the annual report’s income statement.

Here is the formula:

Trailing P/E ratio = Current share price/ EPS of the last 12 months

Why use a P/E ratio?

This ratio is beneficial, especially for analysts, because it is a similar valuation to relative earnings. Analysts can use this when they look for bargains that are related to the market. Some use this to know whether a stock is more expensive than another. Some companies have a high P/E, which they deserve because they have better economic moats than others. And when we say economic moats, we refer to the advantage that one company has to protect their profitability and ace the competition, which the others do not have. Unfortunately, this is not always the case. Sometimes, some company share prices are nothing special. They are just overpriced.

On the other hand, some companies have low P/E ratio are experiencing challenges financially. Others have it low because they are offering a great bargain. Now, if you are asking why use a P/E ratio, you know that it helps entities like analysts have an accurate idea about the value of a stock or a company.

Why not use a P/E ratio?

If there are reasons to use the P/E ratio, there are also reasons why we should hesitate. It has its fair share of flaws. We know that while earnings are constant, stock prices are constantly moving. This is why we have a trailing P/E ratio. It only uses the most recent four quarters instead of the earnings generated from the latter of the last fiscal year.

Trailing P/E and forward P/E

Entities use the forward P/E to evaluate a company because it shows the subsequent projected earnings for 12 months. This ratio is focused on a future earnings estimate. Hence, miscalculation and an analyst bias are always a possibility.

On the other hand, the trailing P/E is more focused on the past performance of a company that is subjected to an acquisition. It gives an acquirer an idea about how it did in the past and how it can do in the future. We usually get a company valuation based on its latest ratio. Some acquirers will always look for a way to buy a company for a cheaper amount, including an earn-out provision. They give an option that they will provide an additional payout if their goal earnings are achieved.

Should I use a trailing P/E ratio?

Many people can say that this measure is reliable because it is backed up by actual performance and not the expected future performance that did not happen. However, know that a company’s past performance can guide you but can’t predict the future. The future, stocks, and the market will always surprise us.

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