Archives of “November 2020” month

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Japan’s Monex says a BOJ digital currency will boost cryptocurrency trading

  
  Analysis

Reuters reporting on comments from the head of Japan’s Monex Group

(Monex has a large online brokerage presence in Japan via a subsidiary.  It is also an owner of Coincheck, a bitcoin exchange operator based in Tokyo.)
  • Central bank digital currencies will help boost trading of cryptocurrencies
  • by providing a more convenient platform for converting cryptocurrencies into legal tenders
“CBDCs will significantly enhance the interoperability of cryptocurrencies”
  • “It would make the cryptocurrency market more lively.”
  • If CBDCs are issued, they would offer a digital-friendly platform where CBDCs, cryptocurrencies and legal tenders could be converted to one another more smoothly
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The background to this is the BOJ and other central banks moving to issue central bank digital currency (CBDC),
The BOJ has said as recently as October it would begin experimenting next year on how to operate its own digital currency, joining efforts by other central banks to catch up to rapid private sector innovation.

Analysts tipping a further rise for the Dow

  
Analysis, US Market

Via Reuters polling, analysts looking for more gains on the back of the release of a COVID-19 vaccine driving an economic and corporate earnings recovery from the pandemic

Forecasts:
  • S&P 500 will finish 2020 at 3,600
  • S&P 500 will finish 2021 at 3,900
  • Dow Jones industrial average will finish 2021 at 32,500
Reuters poll of 40 strategists over the last two weeks.
More:
  • S&P 500 earnings to jump 23% in 2021
  • expectations the Fed will remain accommodative
  • “The Fed has said they intend to keep short rates grounded at zero through at least 2023. With ultra low rates, stocks have little competition”
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On the Fed and 2023 … I would not be banking on this, if there is a sniff of better data (there already is) and higher inflation (not yet) the Fed will find an excuse to hike.
Although, for now:
Via Reuters polling, analysts looking for more gains on the back of the release of a COVID-19 vaccine driving an economic and corporate earnings recovery from the pandemic

Bank of England warn of a disastrous no-deal Brexit, worse than the virus – UK car industry expect a huge slump also

  
  Analysis

An ICYMI heads up to comments from Bank of England Governor Bailey:

  • failing to secure a new trade deal with the European Union would do more damage to the UK economy over the long run than the coronavirus pandemic
  • “I think the long-term effects … would be larger than the long-term effects of Covid,”
  • “It takes a much longer period of time for what I call the real side of the economy to adjust to the change in openness and to the change in profile in trade”
Bailey was speaking in testimony before parliament’s Treasury committee.

Meanwhile the UK motor industry is warning of production losses of £55bn over the next five years if no Brexit deal is agreed. That is the number from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders. SMMT is urging the government to get a deal that avoids resorting to tariffs under World Trade Organization rules.

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Meanwhile the clock is ticking, the UK will leave the EU transition period on January 1 . Just over 37 days away.

Dow and S&P close at record highs. Dow 30,000.

  
Analysis, US Market

Russell 2000 closes at a record high as well

The Dow, S&P and Russell 2000 all closed at record levels for the day. Moreover, the Dow 30 close above the 30K level for the first time ever.
The S&P had the best day in 3 weeks.
The final numbers are showing:
  • S&P index up 57.84 points or 1.62% to  3635.42
  • Nasdaq up 156.15 points or 1.31% to 12036.78
  • Dow rose 454.97 points or 1.54% to 30046.24

Winners today included energy, financials and transportation. Some of the biggest winners include:

  • United Airlines, +9.87%
  • American Airlines, +9.29%
  • Wells Fargo, plus a .78%
  • Exxon Mobil, +7.51%
  • Citigroup, +7.04%
  • Tesla, +6.52%
  • Delta Air Lines, +6.37%
  • Bank of America, +5.82%
  • Morgan Stanley, +5.51%
  • PNC financial, +4.83%
  • J.P. Morgan, +4.63%
  • Walt Disney, +3.78%
Some losers today included:
  • Chew -2.71%
  • Goodrx, -2.59%
  • Rackspace, -2.4%
  • Square, -2.21%
  • Nvidia, -1.39%
  • Chipotle, -1.39%
  • Slack, -1.2%
  • Amgen, -0.87%
  • General Mills, -0.74%
  • Zoom, -0.6%
  • Micron, -0.34%
  • Procter & Gamble, -0.32%
  • AMD, -0.29%
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