Archives of “July 24, 2020” day
rssChinese equities close sharply lower to end the week
CSI 300 index fell by 4.4% in trading today
Meanwhile, the Shanghai Composite index also fell by 3.9% but despite the sharp drop in trading today, the weekly performance isn’t that bad for Chinese equities.

10yr US real yield down to -0.88%, through the absolute lows in late 2012
“What Buffett wouldn’t do”
Investing:
- Don’t be too fixated on daily moves in the stock market (from Berkshire letter published in 2014)
- Don’t get excited about your investment gains when the market is climbing (1996)
- Don’t be distracted by macroeconomic forecasts (2004)
- Don’t limit yourself to just one industry (2008)
- Don’t get taken by formulas (2009)
- Don’t be short on cash when you need it most (2010)
- Don’t wager against the U.S. and its economic potential (2015)
Management:
- Don’t beat yourself up over wrong decisions; take responsibility for them (2001)
- Don’t have mandatory retirement ages (1992)
- “Don’t ask the barber whether you need a haircut” because the answer will be what’s best for the man with the scissors (1983)
- Don’t dawdle (2006)
- Don’t interfere with great managers (1994)
- Don’t succumb to the attitudes that undermine businesses (2015)
- Don’t be greedy about compensation, if you’re my successor (2015)
Last, Buffett advises “Don’t worry about my health” — because Berkshire’s future success is is tied to reinsurance lieutenant Ajit Jain. “Worry about his.” (2001)
China says that responsibility of the situation rests entirely with the US
Comments by the Chinese foreign ministry

- Current situation is something China does not want to see
- Urges the US to revoke its ‘wrong’ decision
- Calls for US to create necessary conditions for return of bilateral relations
Major tech companies have increased their capitalization by more than $ 1.7 trillion this year.
More on that EUR/USD forecasts raised …. to 1.12! (not a typo)
Bank of America Global Research discusses EUR/USD outlook and now targets the pair at 1.12 in Q3 and 1.08 by year-end.
“EURUSD is close to its high for the year. We remain sceptical. The market is long EURUSD and this position could be at risk, particularly for real money. We expect a weak recovery of the global economy during re-opening and don‘t see full normalization as long as the virus is a threat. The EU Recovery Fund is a positive step, but far from a game changer in our view, an 1-off increase in the EU budget that allows the EU to catch up to the fiscal stimulus other G10 economies have been doing–with the US doing more. Although the US recovery may slow in the months ahead, we do not expect another shutdown,” BofA notes.
“As the market has moved in a different direction from our forecasts, we update our forecasts, marking to market. We now expect EURUSD at 1.12 in Q3 from 1.08 before and 1.08 in Q4 from 1.05 before. We keep our 2021 EURUSD forecast at 1.15.We therefore retain a bearish EURUSD bias, to a large extent because of our positive USD view, which in turn is based on a bearish outlook for the global economy,” BofA adds.

CME raises Comex 5000 silver futures (SI) margins by 12.5%
Given the lift in volatility this is no surprise.
- prior $8,000
China says can expel hundreds of US “diplomats” who actually worked for CIA in Chinese mainland
Via the Global Times: China can consider targeted strike to retaliate the US on the forced closure of the consulate in Houston
- expelling hundreds or even more US “diplomats” who actually worked for CIA in Chinese mainland and Hong Kong

FT report “US stimulus delays as Republican talks fall into disarray”
The ongoing bickering and war of words in the Republican senate has delayed any action on further stimulus.
- US Senate leader McConnell says will introduce ‘framework’ for recovery bill “early next week”
Financial Times have a report up on the delays, link is here (may be gated)
- Mitch McConnell, the Republican Senate majority leader, had been expected to announce the party’s stimulus proposal on Thursday morning, only to reverse course later in the day and announce the plan would not come until next week.
