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Greece to hold snap elections after Syriza’s EU defeat

Greece is facing a snap general election after prime minister Alexis Tsipras and his ruling Syriza party suffered a heavy defeat in voting for the European Parliament last month.

The vote will be held on July 7, almost four months before the leftwing Syriza government’s term was due to expire. Mr Tsipras tendered his resignation to President Prokopis Pavlopoulos on Monday, saying the country had “entered a prolonged pre-electoral period from the day after the European elections.”

“I believe this could presage risks for the smooth course of the economy . . . endangering the virtuous circle we have entered and the sacrifices the Greek people have made,” he said.

Mr Pavlopoulos approved the premier’s request immediately.

The European Commission warned last week that handouts legislated by the Syriza government ahead of the European vote could derail Greece’s target for a primary budget surplus — before debt servicing costs — of 3.5 per cent of gross domestic product for this year.

The centre-right New Democracy party topped the polls on May 27, finishing 9.5 percentage points ahead of Syriza. (more…)

US corporate cash pile shrinks as spending climbs post-tax cuts

US corporations’ cash pile has receded from a record high, according to a report from Moody’s Investors Service, as companies put more of their dollars to use in the wake of tax cuts championed by President Donald Trump.

Moody’s said Monday the 928 non-financial companies that it rates held $1.69tn in cash and liquid investments as of December 2018, a 15.2 per cent drop from an all-time high of $1.99tn a year earlier.

Spending on capital investments, dividends, share buybacks and acquisitions each set record highs in the year following the passage of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which included measures that lowered the corporate tax rate and reduced the tax hit on earnings repatriated from foreign subsidiaries.

Moody’s said it expects cash balances will continue to shrink, saying improved access to global cash following the tax overhaul will encourage cash-rich companies to repay maturing debt and return more cash to shareholders.

In 2018, capital expenditures consumed the largest portion of cash flow, rising 12 per cent to hit a record $851bn. Dividends were up 6.7 per cent to $412bn, net share buybacks nearly doubled to $467bn and acquisition spending grew 14 per cent to $405bn — all new highs. (more…)

Stocks end higher but S&P and Dow close near intraday low levels

Nasdaq closes near intraday lows as well

Looking at the final numbers for the US stocks, the numbers are not all that bad:
  • The S&P is closing up 13.39 points or 0.47% at 2886.73
  • The Dow is closing up 78.74 points or0.30% at 26062.68
  • The Nasdaq is closing up 81.067 points or 1.05% at 7823.156
However, looking the high/low intraday ranges, the major indices closes at or near the lows for the day.

European shares end the session with decent gains

Yields are higher in Europe today

The European major indices are closed and the numbers are positive on the day:
  • German DAX, +0.77%
  • France’s CAC, +0.34%
  • UK’s FTSE, +0.6%
  • Spain’s Ibex, 0.66%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB, +0.6%
In the 10 year note sector today yields are also higher but yields are still depressed.
Yields are higher in Europe todayThe German 10 year yield is below the 2016 low at -0.189% still.
German tenure

Eurostoxx futures +0.4% in early European trading

Optimistic tones in early trades as the positive risk mood spreads to Europe

  • French CAC 40 futures +0.4%
  • UK FTSE futures +0.5%
  • Spanish IBEX futures +0.5%
This mirrors sentiment seen in US equity futures which are up by about 0.3% to begin the session. The positive risk mood comes as Trump indefinitely suspends tariffs against Mexico in an announcement over the weekend.
Do be reminded that some markets are closed in Europe today, with the DAX not trading in observance of Whit Monday. Hence, thinner liquidity conditions may prevail in the session ahead before North American traders join in the fray.

Nikkei 225 closes higher by 1.20% at 21,134.42

Tokyo’s main index climbs on improved risk sentiment in markets

Nikkei 10-06

Asian stocks are on the up today as markets are cheering the fact that Mexico manages to avoid tariffs – for now – from the US following Trump’s announcement over the weekend. That has helped put risk assets in a good mood to start the week with global equities sentiment improving and Treasury yields also higher on the day.

USD/JPY sits at 108.62, up by 0.4%, as the yen is seen slightly weaker but also as the dollar is gaining solid ground; retracing some of Friday’s losses.

Goldman Sachs w/e note – USD/CNY to break 7 in three months (forecasts)

While we await the reference rate setting for the onshore yuan, forecasts from a note from GS:

Goldman Sachs expects the yuan
  • in 3 months at 7.05
  • in 6 months at 6.95
  • in 12 months at 6.80
GS cite yuan to fall to partially offset higher US tariffs. Adds that Chinese policy makers are reluctant to have it above 7 … “psychologically important level”
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