Archives of “June 2019” month

rss

US to begin tariff hearings on $300 billion of Chinese goods

  
  Analysis

Some of America’s biggest companies will have a chance to voice opposition to proposed levies on $300 billion of additional Chinese goods as the U.S. kicks off public hearings on Monday.

The hearings, held by the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, will span seven days and 320 companies are expected to testify, including retailer Best Buy, footwear and apparel manufacturers New Balance and Kenneth Cole, and the American branch of Chinese TV maker TCL.

Best Buy, which will testify on the first day of the hearings, last month warned of price increases if additional tariffs were put into place.

Last month, tensions in the U.S.-China trade war escalated after the U.S. increased tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods to 25% at the direction of President Donald Trump, who also ordered the U.S. Trade Representative’s office to “begin the process of raising tariffs on essentially all remaining imports from China,” valued at approximately $300 billion.

Trump this week threatened to impose these tariffs immediately if Chinese President Xi Jinping skips the G-20 summit in Osaka later this month.

On Thursday, an open letter signed by more than 600 companies, including Walmart, Costco, Target and Gap, urged the Trump administration to hold off tariffs and “get back to the negotiating table” with China. (more…)

Tanker attack rings alarm bells for oil-reliant Japan

  
Analysis, Politics

The Persian Gulf, a sea as large as the U.K., connects to the more open waters of the Arabian Sea via the Strait of Hormuz, which is just 33 km wide at its narrowest point. Roughly 17 million barrels of crude — enough to meet nearly 20% of global demand — pass through the strait on tankers each day.

Thursday’s attack near the strait on tankers operated by Japanese shipper Kokuka Sangyo and Taiwanese oil company CPC has raised the specter of this crucial sea lane being closed off.

“Iran did do it,” U.S. President Donald Trump told Fox News on Friday. “And you know they did it because you saw the boat,” he said, referring to a video released by the U.S. military which it said showed Iran’s Revolutionary Guards removing an unexploded mine from the side of a Japanese-owned oil tanker.

Iran denies any involvement.

The incident during Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s visit to Iran has exacerbated tensions that are already running high in a region of vital importance to the global economy, and especially to a Japan more dependent than ever on Middle Eastern oil.

A still image taken from a U.S. military handout video purports to show Iran’s Revolutionary Guard removing an unexploded limpet mine from the side of the Kokuka Courageous Tanker on June 13.   © Reuters

(more…)

Moody’s cuts Turkey’s credit rating deeper into junk territory

  
Analysis, Economy

Turkey’s credit rating has been cut deeper into junk territory by Moody’s Investors Services, with the agency citing its high reliance on external capital flows and rising risk of government default as reasons for the downgrade.

Moody’s cut the country’s long-term debt rating by one notch to B1 from Baa3 and maintained a negative outlook, with the announcement late on Friday prompting a bout of choppiness in the Turkey’s currency, the lira.

The downgrade brings Moody’s in line with Standard & Poor’s rating of B+, which is four notches below investment grade. Fitch’s rating of BB is two notches below investment grade.

Moody’s said the “continued erosion in institutional strength and policy effectiveness on investor confidence” was outweighing positives such as Turkey’s diversified economy and low level of government debt. The inability of political authorities to implement a plan to support the economy remains a key concern. (more…)

CFTC commitments of traders: Smallish changes in the net speculative positions this week

  
Analysis, Forex

Weekly Forex futures net noncommercial positioning data for the week ending June 11, 2019

  • EUR short 87K vs 88K short last week. Shorts trimmed by 1K
  • GBP short 45K vs 48K short last week. Shorts decreased by 3K
  • JPY short 45K vs 44K short last week. Short increase by 1K
  • CHF short 25k vs 36k short last week. Shorts decreased by 11K
  • AUD short 63k vs 63k short last week. Unchanged
  • NZD short 16K vs 20K short last week. Shorts decreased by 4K
  • CAD short 33K vs 42K short last week.  Shorts increased by 9K
  • Prior week

The positions remain long USD (short the currencies).

The CHF shorts decreased by 11K
The CAD shorts were increased by 9K.
Those were the biggest movers in the week.

EURUSD net speculative shorts remained near the largest levels

US stocks close with losses on the day

  
Analysis, US Market

For the week, the major indices end up modest

The major US indices are ending the session with losses on the day led by declines in the tech heavy Nasdaq. Chip stocks were hit hard after Broadcom announced worse than expected earnings and forecasts for earnings/sales going forward, blaming tariffs and China.
The final numbers are showing:
  • The S&P index closed down -4.65 points or -0.16% at 2886.99. The high reach 2894.45. The low extended 2879.62
  • The NASDAQ index fell -40.47 points or -0.52% at 7796.66. The high reach 7819.21. The low extended to 7778.12
  • The Dow industrial average fell -17.16 points or -0.7% at 26089.61. The high reached 2612.28. The low extended 25988.09
For the week:
  • The S&P index rose 0.47%
  • The NASDAQ composite index rose 0.70%
  • The Dow industrial average rose 0.41%
Technically, the S&P index S&P index was able to remain above its 50 day MA at 2873.94 for each of the trading days.   That’s the bullish news. The not so bullish news is that the market did not exactly race higher this week (see white MA line on the chart below).
S&P index closes above its 50 day moving average
Go to top