Archives of “June 3, 2019” day
rssChina merges 2 big steelmakers with eye on world’s No. 1
China Baowu Steel Group, the world’s second-largest steelmaker, will merge with domestic rival Magang (Group) Holding to come within striking distance of global top player ArcelorMittal.
Anhui Province’s State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, which owns Magang, will transfer a 51% stake to Baowu, according to a filing by listed Magang unit Maanshan Iron & Steel on the Shanghai Stock Exchange website Sunday.
The merger aims to strengthen international competitiveness, the Shanghai announcement said. The consolidation comes as China looks to boost profitability at domestic steelmakers in preparation for a drawn-out trade war with the U.S.
“This is a major step toward reaching the goal of 100 million tons a year,” a Baowu source said. Baowu’s current production volume is 67.43 million tons. Adding Magang’s 19.64 million tons will result in combined output of nearly 90 million tons — almost on a par with ArcelorMittal’s 92.5 million tons.
“We just need one more addition to the group to become the world’s No. 1,” the source said.
The Chinese government aims to push consolidation within the industry so that the top 10 players in China account for 60% of steel production, up from 35% today.
Baowu, China’s top steelmaker, is wholly owned by the central government’s State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission.
The Baowu-Magang alliance’s bigger war chest would enable stepped-up capital investment as well as research and development.
Magang said it will push ahead with supply-side reform in conjunction with the direction set by Chinese President Xi Jinping. Consolidation of major steelmakers here will continue going forward, a brokerage analyst predicted. Reducing the number of companies will likely help resolve the issue of oversupply and boost the competitiveness of Chinese players.
China accounts for roughly half of global steel production. Production in the first four months of 2019 grew around 10% on the year, supported by demand for use in infrastructure projects.
Yet with automobile demand shrinking in China, and the outlook unclear for exports of home electronics with new tariffs kicking in, “China has to unite to strengthen the profitability of each steelmaker,” an industry insider said.
In the broader steel industry, the planned merger of India’s Tata Steel and Germany’s ThyssenKrupp was recently called off over fears that that the European Union would block a deal that would create a virtual duopoly in the common market. ArcelorMittal has announced that it will reduce production in Europe.
Amid uncertainties in the global economy, the consolidation in the Chinese steel industry — which accounts for half of the world’s top 10 steelmakers — will impact decision-making at each of the global players.
US imports from China are down nearly 20%
Global banks mint digital coin for fast cross-border transfers
Major banks in Japan, the U.S. and Europe are developing a blockchain-based digital coin that can be used to instantly settle overseas money transfers instantly, lowering transaction costs by cutting out intermediaries.
The project will be run by Fnality International, a company recently established in London with about 50 million pounds ($63.1 million) in capital from 14 participating banks, including Japan’s MUFG Bank and Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp.; UBS, Credit Suisse and Barclays of Europe; and U.S.-based State Street. The Japanese banks are believed to have contributed several hundred million yen each.
Fnality will set up accounts at participating central banks and issue “utility settlement coins,” or USCs, digital equivalents of major currencies that can be converted into their paired currencies on a one-to-one basis.
Currently, cross-border transfers must go through multiple steps involving third-party intermediaries as well as the foreign exchange market if different currencies are involved, adding fees and other costs to the process. USCs will eliminate the need to buy the destination currency in the market, allowing for orders to be processed immediately.
Transmissions that currently take a full day, or even longer, will be carried out much more quickly.
When a commercial bank deposits funds in a Fnality account, it will receive USCs of equivalent value. These will be backed by central banks, mitigating the risk of price fluctuations and providing a more stable method for interbank transfers.
The system will initially work with U.S. dollars, euros, pounds, yen and Canadian dollars. Fnality plans to step up negotiations with central banks and aims to issue the first USC by late 2020.
Like bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, USCs will use blockchain, record-keeping software that makes it difficult to falsify data on past transactions. But USCs will play a fundamentally different role from other digital currencies, as they are used only by financial institutions and are backed by central banks.
North Korea envoy appears with Kim Jong Un despite purge report
Kim Yong Chol, a top aide to Kim Jong Un, has attended a performance with the North Korean leader, days after a report that the senior official was among a group allegedly purged in the wake of a failed summit between Mr Kim and US president Donald Trump.
Kim Yong Chol, the aide who was the counterpart to US secretary of state Mike Pompeo in the run-up to the Hanoi summit in February, was photographed attending a performance with the North Korean leader and other senior officials, according to state news agency Korean Central News Agency.
The report comes just days after Chosun Ilbo, South Korea’s biggest daily newspaper, said Kim Yong Chol has been subjected to forced labour and ideological education in a remote province, while five other officials had been executed, including Kim Hyok Chol, special envoy to the US.
After the Chosun report on Friday – which had cited an unnamed North Korean source – many experts on North Korea had been wary of the veracity of the claims because similar reports in the past have later been disproved.
But analysts had not ruled out the possibility of punishments for the officials involved in the Hanoi summit in February, which ended early with no deal signed between the two leaders.
Christopher Green, a North Korea expert at the International Crisis Group, on Monday said “[as far as I know] Kim Yong Chol was sent for re-education months ago”, adding that the North Korean state media’s framing “also suggests re-education or similar”.
Soo Kim, a policy analyst at RAND Corporation and a former CIA analyst, said on Saturday that if true the latest purge “‘makes sense’ in North Korea’s logic of terror-induced loyalty”.
“This rotating chopping block is not an atypical method of course correction and imputing of blame on others by the Kim dynasty,” she said. “Kim has purged twice and later executed his uncle, Jang Song Taek. He also had purged [military official] Choe Ryong Hae in 2017, and others.”
US and South Korean officials on Friday said that they would investigate the claims of the purge.
Goldman Sachs on oil – lower prices sooner
Quick piece from GS on oil markets, in brief (the post headline is the real in brief):
GS cite:
- escalating trade wars
- weaker activity indicators
Which have ‘fast-forwarded’ price falls the bank had projected for Q3 (65.50/bbl)
GS forecast:
- prices to likely remain around our 3Q forecasts and current levels
- still high price volatility
- global economic outlook in increasingly uncertain
On supply:
- rising US production
- large core-OPEC spare capacity
Reports of missile attacks on a Syrian T4 military airbase in province of Homs
The base is used by Iranian forces
Reports circulating its under attack, citing State media sources
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Geopolitical strife (missile attacks would qualify 😉 ) see flows into USD and yen and out of ‘risk’. Given the lack of FX response it seems Syria is not qualifying right noe.
FT: Facebook in talks with US regulator over digital currency
The Financial Times reports that Facebook continues to negotiate with the CFTC over plans for a digital currency.
- Will be a part of Facebook push in to payments, a new digital payments network to allow users to transfer money, buy items on the platform, its apps Instagram and WhatsApp, and across the wider net.
- plans a a “stablecoin” (a digital coin pegged to a fiat currency)
- Commodity Futures Trading Commission said its in “very early stages of conversations” with Facebook
German politics news – head of Merkel’s coalition partner party to resign
Some German politics if you are following along.
- German Social Democrat leader Andrea Nahles is to resign her position
- The party performed poorly in recent elections (15.8% of the vote in last week’s European Parliament election, coming in 3rd to Merkel’s conservatives and the Greens. Lost key seats).
- This could prompt questions within the party on supporting Merkel and could thus destabilise the German government.
Something to keep an eye on for the euro, not a positive!
Bitcoin had a positive weekend, touched above $8800
I updated the opening levels for currencies earlier here:
- Monday morning FX – early price indications – 3 June 2019
Something for the crypto folks now, BTC had a good weekend:
