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Sharpen Your Trading With Occam's Razor

 Would you believe that a 14th century priest, and his concepts, can help make you a better trader?  Well, English logician and Franciscan friar William of Ockham really can make you a better trader.


Ockham developed the concept commonly referred to as Occam’s Razor.  Simply put, this principle favors the simple over the complex, when there is a choice to be made, or a path to be followed.


How can this apply to trading? A few different ways.


First, if you are a system trader, perhaps your approach has too many rules, too many parameters, or too much optimizing.  While every parameter you add might make your system better historically, the more parameters you have, the less prone the system is to work going forward.  Simpler concepts and simple rules tend to be based on fundamental market principles – ones that aren’t as likely to change.


Second, if you are a discretionary trader, you might trade off of news reports from Blue Channels  and multiple other sources.  Multiple news sources might give you more data, but does it really give you more knowledge?  You might find that with multiple, conflicting pieces of information, you actually can’t trade at all – rather, you are a victim of “analysis paralysis.”


Third, maybe your trading office looks like the control room for the Space Shuttle. If you try to trade off all of the information shown on all the screens, you might just find yourself overwhelmed.  It is better to stick to a few monitors of information, and know that information very well.  The best traders don’t need a dozen monitors to trade well – usually 1 or 2 monitors is plenty.


Many new traders tend to think that that more complicated they make trading, the easier it will be to “solve” the markets.  Instead, they should be listening to William of Ockham, and making things simpler.  Simple, done correctly, can lead to more profits, and stand the test of time better than complicated approaches.

20 Trading Wisdom Lines

(1)  Those who work their plan will prosper, but those who chase fantasies lack judgment.

(2)  Those who want to do right will get a rich reward. But those who want to “get rich quick” will quickly  fail“.

(3)  Trying to “get rich quick” is wrong & leads to poverty.

(4)  Wealth taken from gambling quickly disappears; wealth from diligent effort & hard work grows“.

(5)  Follow the rules & keep your financial life intact; ignoring them means financial ruin.

(6)  A person without self-control is as defenseless as a city with broken-down walls.

(7)  The wise control their temper.  They know that anger causes mistakes.

(8)  The intelligent are always open to new ideas, in fact they look for them.

(9)  Get all the advice that you can & be wise all the rest of your life.

(10)  Fools despise advice; ‘the wise’ consider each suggestion.

(11)  Fools think they need no advice, but ‘the wise’ listen to others.

(12)  To learn, you must want to be taught.  To refuse correction is stupid.

(13)  Anyone willing to be corrected is on the path to success. Those who refuse correction have lost their chance.

(14)  Hard work brings prosperity; playing around brings poverty.

(15) If you love sleep, you will end up in poverty.  Stay awake, work hard, & there will be plenty to eat.

(16)  The foolish will lose in the end, ‘the wise’ will end up with the winnings.

(17)  The wise save up for the future, but the foolish spend whatever they get”.

(18)  Truth stands the test of time; lies are soon exposed.

(19 Be faithful & honest with yourself in your trading, bediligent & consistent & it will bring you Prosperity.
(20) Steady plodding brings prosperity; hasty speculation brings poverty.

Think carefully about each one of these quotes.  I think you’ll find out a little something about yourself you didn’t already know.  For example, your “strengths” and “weaknesses” in your trading should be clearly pointed out be analyzing each one of these phrases.  These simple and short phrases should help you become a better trader — and hopefully a better person in general!

Improve your Trading Skill

Would you believe that a 14th century priest, and his concepts, can help make you a better trader?  Well, English logician and Franciscan friar William of Ockham really can make you a better trader.

Ockham developed the concept commonly referred to as Occam’s Razor.  Simply put, this principle favors the simple over the complex, when there is a choice to be made, or a path to be followed.

How can this apply to trading? A few different ways.

First, if you are a system trader, perhaps your approach has too many rules, too many parameters, or too much optimizing.  While every parameter you add might make your system better historically, the more parameters you have, the less prone the system is to work going forward.  Simpler concepts and simple rules tend to be based on fundamental market principles – ones that aren’t as likely to change.

Second, if you are a discretionary trader, you might trade off of news reports from CNBC, Bloomberg and multiple other sources.  Multiple news sources might give you more data, but does it really give you more knowledge?  You might find that with multiple, conflicting pieces of information, you actually can’t trade at all – rather, you are a victim of “analysis paralysis.”

Third, maybe your trading office looks like the control room for the Space Shuttle. If you try to trade off all of the information shown on all the screens, you might just find yourself overwhelmed.  It is better to stick to a few monitors of information, and know that information very well.  The best traders don’t need a dozen monitors to trade well – usually 1 or 2 monitors is plenty.

Many new traders tend to think that that more complicated they make trading, the easier it will be to “solve” the markets.  Instead, they should be listening to William of Ockham, and making things simpler.  Simple, done correctly, can lead to more profits, and stand the test of time better than complicated approaches.

20 Wisdom Points for Traders

(1)  Be faithful & honest with yourself in your trading, be diligent & consistent & it will bring you Prosperity.
(2)  Those who work their plan will prosper, but those who chase fantasies lack judgment.
(3)  Steady plodding brings prosperity; hasty speculation brings poverty.
(4)  Those who want to do right will get a rich reward. But those who want to “get rich quick” will quickly  fail“.
(5)  Trying to “get rich quick” is wrong & leads to poverty.
(6)  Wealth taken from gambling quickly disappears; wealth from diligent effort & hard work grows“.
(7)  Follow the rules & keep your financial life intact; ignoring them means financial ruin.
(8)  A person without self-control is as defenseless as a city with broken-down walls.
(9)  The wise control their temper.  They know that anger causes mistakes.
(10)  The intelligent are always open to new ideas, in fact they look for them. (more…)

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