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On The Menu This Afternoon

All times GMT

1330  US Oct CPI expected 0.1% m/m, from +0.6%, ex food and energy exp +0.1%m/m unchanged

US Nov Empire state survey  expected -8.0 from -6.2

US initial claims (wk Nov 10) exp 375k from 355k

Canadian Sept Mfg sales exp=0.3%m/m down from +1.5%

1400  US Fed’s Lacker speaks on economic outlook

1500  US Nov Philly Fed Survey exp 2.0 from 5.7

1540  US Fed Evans speaking ati 15th annual banking conference

1820  US Chairman Bernanke speaks on Housing and mortgage markets

1945  US Fed’s Fisher speaks at State of West symposium

2130  US Fed’s Plosser  speaks at CATO Institute

2330 US Fed’s Dudley speaks at NY clearing house

Marty Zweig, Ned Davis, and Humility

MUST READIt is perhaps poignant that with many people looking for a market correction and much talk of elevated sentiment measures bringing back memories of 1987, that we learned today of the death of Marty Zweig, widely known not only for the put-call ratio, and ‘Don’t fight the Fed’, but also his prescient call in October 1987 just before the crash.

Marty Zweig calls the Crash of ’87 (The whole thing is worth watching but Marty comes in around the 6:40 mark)

Watching that piece of history again there’s much that modern business networks could learn from it. Notice the easy-going style of Louis Rukeyser, the complete lack of confrontation with his panelists, no raised voices, no sound effects, no gotchas. This is after one of the most wretched weeks in Wall St, (worse was to come obviously), but you would barely know it from the calm civility which permeates their discussion.

What I particularly like and admire however, is in making his observations Marty Zweig is almost apologetic about it. He fears we’re on the verge of something severe but rather than take the opportunity for grandstanding as many of today’s pundits would, he’s almost scared to tell everyone. He says: (more…)

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