“I’m only rich because I know when I’m wrong…I basically have survived by recognizing my mistakes.”
Understanding that he was not always right enabled him to cut losses short and position size right.
“My approach works not by making valid predictions but by allowing me to correct false ones.”
Soros’ is flexible in his trades, he changes his mind and reverses positions when needed. He does not marry his trades.
“It’s not whether you’re right or wrong that’s important, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.”
George Soros knows that the key to profitability for him is more about big wins and small losses than his winning percentage.
“The markets are always on the side of exuberance or fear. It’s fear and greed. Right now greed has the better of it, which is rather nice (for investors) as long as it doesn’t get out of hand,”
Market trends are caused more by the extremes of investors emotions than fundamental reasons.
“Once we realize that imperfect understanding is the human condition there is no shame in being wrong, only in failing to correct our mistakes.”
The problem is not in a losing trade but in failing to cut the loss or add to a losing position.
“The worse a situation becomes, the less it takes to turn it around, and the bigger the upside.”
The more extended a trend gets from its average the greater the odds of a snap back and reversion to that mean.
“If investing is entertaining, if you’re having fun, you’re probably not making any money. Good investing is boring.” (more…)