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10 Trading Principles of George Soros

“I’m only rich because I know when I’m wrong…I basically have survived by recognizing my mistakes.”

Understanding that he was not always right enabled him to cut losses short and position size right.

“My approach works not by making valid predictions but by allowing me to correct false ones.”

Soros’ is flexible in his trades, he changes his mind and reverses positions when needed. He does not marry his trades.

“It’s not whether you’re right or wrong that’s important, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.”

George Soros knows that the key to profitability for him is more about big wins and small losses than his winning percentage. 

“The markets are always on the side of exuberance or fear. It’s fear and greed. Right now greed has the better of it, which is rather nice (for investors) as long as it doesn’t get out of hand,”

Market trends are caused more by the extremes of  investors emotions than fundamental reasons.

“Once we realize that imperfect understanding is the human condition there is no shame in being wrong, only in failing to correct our mistakes.”

The problem is not in a losing trade but in failing to cut the loss or add to a losing position.

“The worse a situation becomes, the less it takes to turn it around, and the bigger the upside.”

The more extended a trend gets from its average the greater the odds of a snap back and reversion to that mean.

“If investing is entertaining, if you’re having fun, you’re probably not making any money. Good investing is boring.” (more…)

Exponential Growth and 52 Cards

Just 52 cards (weeks) with 4 suits (seasons) with 13 cards (weeks) in each season can be shuffled into 400000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000 combinations. That’s 4 and 69 0’s.

The Pips (spots on a card) = the number of days in the year for trivia buffs (jacks count 11, Queens 12 and Kings 13).

Oh and here is a mind-fuddling bit of math that I perform with all the time and I’m still shocked that it always works: The Gilbreath Shuffle.

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