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CFTC commitment of traders: EUR longs increase to 200K (all time largest long position).

  
Analysis, Forex
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Weekly FX speculative positioning data from the CFTC

  • EUR long 200K vs 180K long last week. Longs increased by 20K
  • GBP short 3K vs 15K short last week. Shorts trimmed by 12K
  • JPY long 27K vs 31K long last week. Longs trimmed by 4K
  • CHF long 17K vs 12K long last week. Longs increase by 5K
  • AUD short 1K vs 1K short last week. Shorts trimmed by 4K
  • NZD 0K vs 1K short last week. Shorts trimmed by 1K
  • CAD short 30k vs 23K short last week. Shorts increased by 6K

Highlights:

  • EUR longs continue to rise and are at new record long position at 200K. The largest short position all time is at -227K
  • GBP position has been whittled down to near unchanged after being short by 36K at the beginning of June 2020
  • AUD and NZD speculative positions are near unchanged
  • CAD shorts are the more or less, the only short currency position (long USD position).
Weekly FX speculative positioning data from the CFTC

Way to Time an Entry for a Position Trade

  
Analysis, Education
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Green Vinyl Entry Signage, Thickness: 3 To 10 Mm ,Shape: Square ...For position trades, you may not want to be too involved in the intraday timing for your entry. Nonetheless, rather than just buying at a random time, e.g. at the open or at the close, your entry price can be improved by taking note of the intraday trend using some quick-and-dirty methods.

A quick-and-dirty way to determine the trend is to say that if price is above the 50-period SMA, and the 50-period SMA is sloping upwards, then it is an uptrend. Reverse those conditions for a downtrend.

Now say you want to take a long position

  • If the intraday chart shows an uptrend based on the method above, then immediately enter your position.
  • If the intraday chart shows a downtrend, wait for the trend to change to up, then enter immediately.

If you want to take a short position, reverse the instructions above. If you want to add some complexity to trend determination, you can also add in an additional condition for higher highs and higher lows for uptrend, and lower highs and lower lows for downtrend.

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