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Jesse Livermore’s Money Management Rules

  
  Education
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If you haven’t read this book “Reminiscences of a Stock Operator” written in 1923, read it! It is purpordetly the unofficial biography of one of the greates traders ever; Jesse Livermore.  The rules Jesse followed back at the turn of the last century are still very much applicable today.

1) Don’t lose money. Don’t lose your stake. A speculator without cash is like a store-owner with no inventory. Cash is your inventory, your lifeline, and your best friend. Without cash, you are out of business. Don’t lose your line. There is no place in speculating for hoping, for guessing, for fear, for greed, for emotions. The tape tells the truth.

2) Always establish a stop. A successful speculator must set a firm stop before making a trade and must never sustain a loss of more than 10 percent of invested capital. I have also learned that when your broker calls you and tells you he needs more money for a margin requirement on a stock that is declining; tell him to sell out the position. When you buy a stock at 50 and it goes to 45, do not buy more in order to average out your price. The stock has not done what you predicted; that is enough of an indication that your judgment was wrong. Take sour losses quickly and get out. Remember, never meet a margin call, and never average losses. Many times I would close out a position before suffering a 10 percent loss. I did this simply because the stock was not acting right from the start. Often my instincts would whisper to me: “J.L., this stock has a malaise, it is a lagging dullard. It just does not feel right,” and I would sell out of my position in the blink of an eye. I absolutely believe that price movement patterns are repeated and appear over and over with slight variations. This is because humans drive the stocks, and human nature never changes. Take your losses quickly. Easy to say, but hard to do. (more…)

10 ways to Master the Trade

  
  Education
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How do you know you’re making progress on the road to successful trading? There’s one obvious answer: Check your financial  results. There is little doubt you’re doing well if you’re booking consistent profits. Thump

 But raw capital production may not be the best way to judge your growth as a trader. The road to success has many detours  where profitability isn’t the best measure of results. For example, we all go through phases in which introspection and skill  development are more urgent than short-term profits. So let’s look at 10 ways to know you’re making solid progress on the road  to market mastery: 

 1. Money management becomes your lifeline, and all your trading strategies start to revolve around its core. Risk control  becomes a key aspect of every position you take. You accept that controlling losses has a far-greater impact on your bottom line  than chasing gains. 

 2. You develop your own trading plans and strategies rather than relying on books, gurus or other people’s opinions. You notice  how you’re finding more opportunities than you have time to trade while looking through your charts. You look forward to the  trading day with a growing sense of confidence and empowerment. 

 3. You feel more like a student than a master. You learn new things every day and can’t wait to apply them to real-life trading  scenarios. You listen closely to everything you hear, trying to pick up hints and concepts that will improve your performance. You expand your studies into everything market-related, including economics, fundamentals and balance sheets. 

 4. You stop visiting stock boards and chatrooms, because they don’t add anything to your trading goals. You realize that  everyone in those places has ulterior motives. You develop a healthy skepticism about companies, market-makers and even  other traders. You realize that no one is really interested in your success as a trader, except for you.  (more…)

Jesse Livermore’s Money Management Rules

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

If you haven’t read this book “Reminiscences of a Stock Operator” written in 1923, read it! It is purpordetly the unofficial biography of one of the greates traders ever; Jesse Livermore.  The rules Jesse followed back at the turn of the last century are still very much applicable today.

1) Don’t lose money. Don’t lose your stake. A speculator without cash is like a store-owner with no inventory. Cash is your inventory, your lifeline, and your best friend. Without cash, you are out of business. Don’t lose your line. There is no place in speculating for hoping, for guessing, for fear, for greed, for emotions. The tape tells the truth.

2) Always establish a stop. A successful speculator must set a firm stop before making a trade and must never sustain a loss of more than 10 percent of invested capital. I have also learned that when your broker calls you and tells you he needs more money for a margin requirement on a stock that is declining; tell him to sell out the position. When you buy a stock at 50 and it goes to 45, do not buy more in order to average out your price. The stock has not done what you predicted; that is enough of an indication that your judgment was wrong. Take sour losses quickly and get out. Remember, never meet a margin call, and never average losses. Many times I would close out a position before suffering a 10 percent loss. I did this simply because the stock was not acting right from the start. Often my instincts would whisper to me: “J.L., this stock has a malaise, it is a lagging dullard. It just does not feel right,” and I would sell out of my position in the blink of an eye. I absolutely believe that price movement patterns are repeated and appear over and over with slight variations. This is because humans drive the stocks, and human nature never changes. Take your losses quickly. Easy to say, but hard to do. (more…)

With $1 Trillion In Loans, The ECB Is The Biggest Guarantor Of European Banks

  
Analysis, Economy, Education
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Today’s lower than expected interest in the 3-month LTRO operation was supposed to indicate a sign of stability for European banks. Nothing could be further from the truth. In an article which recaps a variety of data points presented here previously, the FT summarizes that European banks continue to exist solely due to a record and unprecedented $1 trillion in emergency loans issued to Europe’s commercial banks. In turn, almost 40% of this liquidity is then recycled, and stored back with the ECB, as the very same banks have no trust whatsoever in any of their peers. In short: no matter what the Stress Tests indicate, the European financial system is now in a worse condition than ever in history, including the days just after Lehman.

From the FT:

The ECB is currently lending close to €900bn ($1,098bn, £728bn) to eurozone commercial banks, jumping to near-record levels since the creation of the central bank 11 years ago. This now matches cross-border lending between commercial banks in the 16-nation currency zone, according to JPMorgan.

Although lending between domestic banks represents the lion’s share of the estimated €6,300bn market, the ECB has become essential as a lifeline to the weaker of the 3,000 banks in the eurozone.

At least some people still have the guts to laugh in the face of JCT’s propaganda:

 
 

Paul Griffiths, global head of fixed income at Aberdeen Asset Managers, says: “Without financial support many banks would struggle. It would take a brave man to turn the ECB taps off.”

Summarizing just how critical the ECB’s role is in the proper functioning of European banks:

 
 

Since Lehman Brothers collapsed in September 2008, lending by the ECB to eurozone banks has risen sharply as it has offered unlimited loans and extended its liquidity operations. This has seen the sum it lends to the banks rise from about €500bn before the Lehman crisis to today’s near record levels.

As well as the offer of unlimited loans, the ECB has bought €55bn in eurozone government bonds and €60.2bn in eurozone covered bonds in an effort to revive the eurozone economy and boost sentiment.

However, fear still stalks the markets. Interbank dealers say credit blocks remain on Spanish and Greek banks because they are seen as too risky to lend to.

The fear of lending to other banks because they may fail to repay loans is also reflected in the large sums of cash being deposited at the ECB overnight.

In spite of offering only 0.25 per cent for deposits, commercial banks parked €305bn at the ECB on Monday night because they prefer the safety of placing their money with the central bank rather than lending to other banks at higher rates. Before the Lehman crisis, overnight deposits at the ECB were typically less than €10bn.

And a pretty chart showing just how contrary to fact are all European claims that all shall be well.

At this point it is worth reminding that the Fed is a paragon of transparency and openness when compared to the infinitely more nebulous ECB. One thing that can be assumed with certainty for both central banks, however, is that this $1 trillion+ in cash lent out is backstopped by some of the most toxic paper in existence. The collateral received in exchange for the cash, which in turn forms the asset side of the ECB’s balance sheet, is also the guarantor of the money in circulation in the eurozone, and is the implicit baker of the value of the Euro. Next time you wonder why more and more people are calling for EURCHF parity, keep in mind that almost a hundred billion in Greek bonds is just part of the worthless recourse backing that piece of paper in your transatlantic wallet.

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