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Every 8 Years, Your Chances of Dying Double

Robert Krulwich revisits the mysterious but true Gompertz Law of Human Mortality, named for the British actuary who had originally discovered this mathematical fact back in 1825.

via NPR:

Obviously, when you’re young (and past the extra-risky years of early childhood), the chances of dying in the coming year are minuscule — roughly 1 in 3,000 for 25-year-olds. (This is a group average, of course.)
But eight years later, the tables said, the odds will roughly double.  ”When I’m 33 [the chances of my dying that year] will be about 1 in 1,500.”
And eight years after that…the odds double again: “It will be about 1 in 750.”
And eight years later, there’s another doubling. Looking down the chart, you’ll see that keeps happening and happening and happening. “Your probability of dying during a given year doubles every eight years.”

A helpful, if horrifying, chart:

death chart

Why Your Babies May Live to 120 Years Old

Our genes harbor many secrets to a long and healthy life. And now scientists are beginning to uncover them.

The cover story in National Geographic this month is off the hook – if you’re a believer in the big healthcare secular bull market and fascinated by demography’s effects on economics (as we are), you’re going to want to check this out. They did four different covers, pretty cool:
nat geo
Longevity (National Geographic)

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