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Crisis Moves to Hungary?

Sovereign debt worries in Europe have been elevated for a couple of months now, and today Hungary moved into the crosshairs.  Sovereign debt default risk as measured by 5-year CDS prices has spiked for Hungary and the countries surrounding it today, but default risk for this region still remains well below levels seen in late 2008 and early 2009.  The first two charts below of 5-year CDS for Austria and Hungary since 2008 highlights this.  Greece and Portugal default risk remains elevated as well, but at the moment it is still down from its recent peaks.  France also remains elevated, but it is still below highs seen in early 2009.  The same can’t be said for Spain, however.  Spain default risk reached a new crisis high today, taking out levels seen prior to the trillion Euro bailout.  And Spain matters much more than Hungary.

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