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Trump and Powell spoke for five minutes on May 20

No word on what they spoke about

I’m sure Trump just called to say how much he respected the Fed’s independence.
The report comes from the just-published calendar.
No word on what they spoke about

Here was the news wrap from May 20. There wasn’t much going on that day but Trump and Powell did both speak later that evening. Here were the comments from Powell. He also said that it was premature to make judgement on trade & tariff impacts on path for monetary policy.

Trump – Iran is playing with fire. China trade talks are already underway.

President Trump with some remarks crossing

  • Iran is playing with fire.
  • China trade talks are already underway over phone.
  • expects President Xi will move on some of the issues that are in dispute
(pro tip – Xi will not)
President Trump with some remarks crossing

Trump, China & the Fed

I think it’s entirely possible we leave Osaka with a mild escalation -something like expanded 10% tariffs – enough to scare both China & the Fed into more stimulus & a 50bps cut. Then walk it back in 2020 with a juiced economy. Same playbook as Iran/SA

Beijing says US will not impose new tariffs on China exports

The U.S. will not levy new tariffs on Chinese exports, Chinese state media said after bilateral talks between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the Group of 20 summit in Osaka.

The world’s two biggest economies have agreed to restart trade talks, Xinhua news said, adding that the two sides will have discussions on “specific” issues.

The two leaders met for the first time in nearly seven months on Saturday, again on the sidelines of a global meeting, in an attempt to turn the heat down on a boiling trade war.

Trump is angry at the trade imbalance between the two countries, and has imposed rounds of tariffs on goods the U.S. imports from China. China retaliated by raising tariffs.

As the bilateral meeting began, Xi said he is prepared to exchange his thoughts and that he hopes to set the direction of China-U.S. relations “based on coordination, cooperation and stability.”

He added, “cooperation and dialogue are better than friction and confrontation.”

Trump responded by saying, “It would be historic if we can do a fair trade deal.”

“This could be a very productive meeting,” he said. (more…)

The chaps at China’s Global Times say US growth claims are fake news

if these guys are setting the tone for the talks between Xi and Trump … well Monday early markets could be very interesting indeed!

Global Times (never shy about a bit or US prodding):
  • The claims that US growth will accelerate are false. 
  • Instead growth in 2019 will fall. 
  • And growth in 2020 will be even lower than in 2019 – a serious issue for Trump as 2020 is an election year
They add in the pic:
If these guys are setting the tone for the talks between Xi and Trump … well Monday early markets could be very interesting indeed! 
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