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One of the best Trading Psychology books I've ever read!

  
  Education
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“Psychology of Intelligence Analysis” by Richards J Heuer, Jr., published by the CIA’s Center for the Study of Intelligence, 1999.

woman-reading
 

Available as a pdf download from this webpage
 

Ok, so it’s a CIA book written for Intelligence Analysts, not a trading book written for traders. However, the information available in this book is superb. Well written and easy to follow. This is an excellent source of information on how we think, and the cognitive biases which undermine our ability to process information and conduct market analysis.
 

VERY APPLICABLE TO TRADING. HIGHLY RECOMMENDED.
 

Here’s what’s it covers:

 

Part 1 – Our Mental Machinery

  • Chapter 1: Thinking About Thinking

  • Chapter 2: Perception: Why Can’t We See What Is There to Be Seen?

  • Chapter 3: Memory: How Do We Remember What We Know?

Part 2 – Tools for Thinking

  • Chapter 4: Strategies for Analytical Judgment: Transcending the Limits of Incomplete Information

  • Chapter 5: Do You Really Need More Information?

  • Chapter 6: Keeping an Open Mind

  • Chapter 7: Structuring Analytical Problems

  • Chapter 8: Analysis of Competing Hypothesis

Part 3 – Cognitive Biases

  • Chapter 9 – What Are Cognitive Biases?

  • Chapter 10 – Biases in Evaluation of Evidence

  • Chapter 11 – Biases in Perception of Cause and Effect

  • Chapter 12 – Biases in Estimating Probabilities

  • Chapter 13 – Hindsight Biases in Evaluation of Intelligence Reporting

Part 4 – Conclusions

  • Chapter 14 – Improving Intelligence Analysis

 

Available as a pdf download from this webpage

Warren Buffetts Next Door

  
  Education
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The book The Warren Buffetts Next Door: The World’s Greatest Investors You’ve Never Heard Of and What You Can Learn From Them by Matthew Schifrin is an interesting compilation of true stories about ‘average Joes’ who have made huge amounts of money in the stock market. Some use technical analysis, some use fundamental analysis, and some use gut feelings.

This book gives hope to every investor and trader. Each chapter covers a different person, describing what their occupation is, how old they are, their investment strategy, what broker they use, and what their favorite web sites and chat rooms are. Also, their best and worst picks, along with the long term track record. My favorite one is the Stock Angler in Chapter 9. The guy has a full time job, trades during the hour or two before he leaves for work, and has been able to achieve a 33% average annualized return since January 2003.

Every trader that is profiled provides an example of on of their successful trades, and shows how the decision was made to make the trade. I really like the last chapter which lists all the major investment websites which he calls Investor Incubators. You should read The Warren Buffetts Next Door for proof that you don’t have to be Warren Buffett, George Soros, T. Boone Pickens, or Carl Icahn to be a successful stock trader.

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